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2014年上半年钼市场回顾与展望

     

摘要

The molybdenum market was mixed since 2014 with western market better than China.Boosted by the tightness on the spot availability and strong recovery on demand,the global market has seen a shocking upwards trend,which is better than 2013.Comparatively,the domestic market keeps on a slow performance,with the price mainly lead by the femo tender price from some big steel mills.The mainstream market was weak but stable.This paper intends to illustrate,with the combination of quantity and quality,firstly the review of the molybdenum mar-ket during first half of 2014,then to obtain the rules and influencing factors on the market through the analysis on the macro economy,steel and fundamentals of molybdenum.Finally it will come to the prospect of the molybdenum markets.%2014年以来,国内外钼市场整体表现为外热内冷,涨跌互现行情。国际市场在现货供应吃紧和需求强劲支撑的作用下,整体行情呈现震荡上行态势,总体水平好于去年,国内市场钼价整体步伐运行缓慢,主要由钼铁市场即国内钢厂招标价格引导各级产品价格走势,导致主流行情多以弱市趋稳行情为主。本文采用图文并茂,定性与定量相结合的方法,在简要对2014年上半年国内外钼市场变化情况回顾的基础上,重点从外围宏观经济环境、钢铁行业运行状况、钼供需基本面等方面剖析了钼价运行内在规律及影响因素,并对2014年下半年钼市场前景进行了展望。

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