中国经济很可能会在未来很长一段时间保持中高速增长态势，成为一种“新常态”，并逐渐演化长期的、结构性的现象，而不是一个短期的、周期性的现象。单靠传统的逆周期宏观调控政策难以彻底破解中国经济的困局，有必要在宏观经济分析中找寻更加系统性的解决方案。未来中国经济增长动力不再依靠投资、出口和消费三架马车的需求拉动，而是通过改善供给来创造需求，更准确的是依靠减低宏观税负、放松对企业规制和提升全要素生产率。%Chinaˊs economy is likely to maintain medium speed growth in the future for a long time. It will be not a short-term and cyclical phenomenon but a long-term structural phenomenon. If we still relying on traditional cyclical macroeconomic control policy completely, it will be difficult to break the Chinese economic dilemma .So we have to find a more systematic solution in macroeconomic analysis. Chinaˊs economic growth momentum will no lon-ger rely on investment, export and consumption, but by improving supply to create demand, that is to reduce the macro tax burden, relax the regulation of enterprise and improve the total factor productivity.
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