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The Price Model of Aquatic Products Based on Predictive Control Theory

机译:基于预测控制理论的水产品价格模型

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This paper discusses a disequilibrium cobweb model of price of aquatic products, and applies predictive control theory, so that the system operates stably, and the deviation between supply and demand of aquatic products smoothly tracks the pre-given target. It defines the supply and demand change model, and researches the impact of parameter selection in this model on dynamic state and robustness of the system. I conduct simulation by Matlab software, to get the response curve of this model. The results show that in the early period of commodities coming into the market, affected by lack of market information and many other factors, the price fluctuates greatly in a short time. The market will gradually achieve balance between supply and demand over time, and the price fluctuations in the neighbouring two periods are broadly consistent. The increase in model parameter can decrease overshoot, to promote the stability of system, but the slower the dynamic response, the longer the deviation between supply and demand to accurately track a given target. Therefore, by selecting different parameters, the decision-makers can establish different models of supply and demand changes to meet the actual needs, and ensure stable development of market. Simulation results verify the excellent performance of this algorithm.
机译:本文讨论了水产品价格的不平衡蜘蛛网模型,并应用了预测控制理论,以使系统稳定运行,水产品供需之间的偏差平稳地跟踪了预定目标。它定义了供需变化模型,并研究了该模型中参数选择对系统动态状态和鲁棒性的影响。我通过Matlab软件进行仿真,以获得该模型的响应曲线。结果表明,大宗商品进入市场初期,受缺乏市场信息等诸多因素的影响,价格在短时间内波动较大。随着时间的推移,市场将逐渐实现供需之间的平衡,相邻两个时期的价格波动大致保持一致。模型参数的增加可以减少过冲,从而提高系统的稳定性,但是动态响应越慢,供求之间的偏差就越长,以准确地跟踪给定的目标。因此,通过选择不同的参数,决策者可以建立供需变化的不同模型来满足实际需求,并确保市场的稳定发展。仿真结果验证了该算法的优越性能。

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