基于复杂适应理论的电力系统生产模拟

摘要

针对电力系统发展规划、需求侧管理、电力市场的理论和模拟研究工作对时序性、互动性、随机性生产模拟的需要,在智能工程的空间基础和方法工具支持下,根据复杂适应系统框架建立了生产模拟模型.模型通过用户需求模块、电网企业调度模块、电力市场模块和电源企业生产模块模拟电力系统的不同环节和功能,利用k-means聚类法、整数规划法等算法,模型实现了对系统的生产模拟,模拟结果与实际数据差异在可接受范围之内,可以在电力发展规划、需求侧管理、电力市场等相关分析研究方面起到一定支撑作用.%Supported intelligence engineering,this article is based on the framework of complex adaptive system,modeling the time series,interactivity,stochastics of power system production simulation to assist the theory research in the area of power system planning,demand side management and so on.The model simulates different links and functions of power system via user-requirements module,power grid scheduling module,electricity market module and electric power production module.The result shows that the production simulation model can play a supporting role in the research of power development planning,demand side management and electricity market modelling.