2016年上半年中国猪肉市场形势分析及未来展望

摘要

This paper analyzed China's pork market in the first half of 2016, and made a prospect of the pork market in the second half of 2016 and in 2017. In the first half of 2016, the supply of pork was less than the demand in China, pork prices were driven up, and then imports of pig products had a sharp increase. The profit of pig-breeding continued increasing as pig-grain price ratio to keep rise. The increase of inventory will improve the supply of pork in the end of 2016. In the second half, the pork consumption will increase slowly, and the pork price will maintain a strong state.%分析了2016年上半年中国猪肉市场形势，并对2016年下半年及2017年猪肉市场进行了展望。2016年上半年，中国猪肉市场供需偏紧，猪肉价格持续上涨，生猪产品进口大幅增加；猪粮比价持续攀升，生猪养殖盈利水平不断提高。同时，生猪存栏恢复性增长将推动年底生猪出栏量增加。2016年下半年猪肉消费稳中略增，猪肉价格仍将保持强势状态。