航空事故人为因素多模型集成分析与控制策略

摘要

Human factors are leading causes of modern aviation accidents. So it is helpful to improve the level of flight safety and realize intrinsic safety by analyzing characteristics of human factors and further proposing preventive measures. In this paper,multi-model integrated analysis and control processes are put forward combining FTA and HFACS,to find direct and deep causes of the accidents and to fully rec-ognize human factors,accident mechanisms and evolutionary processes. An quantitative method is also ap-plied to identify key factors so that some targeted strategies can be put forward to prevent similar accidents caused by human factors. Besides,according to the associative hazard analysis,potential unsafe factors of the accidents are found to realize accident prevention in an active way.%人为因素是现代航空事故最主要的致因因素，分析航空事故中人为因素的特点，进一步提出预防措施，有利于提高飞行安全水平，实现本质安全。提出多模型集成的航空事故人为因素分析与控制流程，将事故树分析方法( FTA)和人因分析及分类系统( HFACS)相结合，寻找事故的直接原因和深层次原因，全面识别航空事故中的人为因素、事故机理及事故演化过程；运用定量方法找出关键因素，针对性地提出避免由人为因素导致航空事故的策略；根据关联危害性分析法，挖掘事故的潜在不安全因素，实现主动的事故预防。