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Adapting cities to sea level rise: A perspective from Chinese deltas

机译:从中国三角洲看城市适应海平面上升

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摘要

In recent years,intensifying waterlogging,salt water intrusion,wetland loss,and ecosystem degradation in Chinese delta cities and adjacent regions have generated the pressing need to create an urban form that is suited to both current and future climates incorporating sea level rise.However,adaptation planning uptake is slow.This is particularly unfortunate because patterns of urban form interact with mean sea level rise (MSLR) in ways that reduce or intensify its impact.There are currently two main barriers that are significant in arresting the implementation of adaptation planning with reference to the MSLR projections composed of geomorphologic MSLR projections and eustatic MSLR projections from global climate warming,and making a comprehensive risk assessment of MSLR projections.The present review shows recent progresses in mapping MSLR projections and their risk assessment approaches on Chinese delta cities,and then a perspective of adapting these cities to MSLR projections as following six aspects.1) The geomorphologic MSLR projections are contributed by the natural tectonic subsidence projections and the MSLR projections by anthropogenic geomorphologic change.The former needs to be updated in a global framework.The latter is accumulated by land subsidence from underground water depletion,water level fall caused by the erosion of riverbeds from a sediment supply decline attributed to the construction of watershed dams,artificial sand excavation,water level raise by engineering projects including land reclamation,deep waterway regulation,and fresh water reservoirs.2) Controlling MSLR projections by anthropogenic geomorphologic changes.3) The IPCC AR5 RCPs MSLRs scenarios are expected to be projected to the local eustatic MSLR projections on the Chinese deltas.4) The MSLR projections need to be matched to a local elevation datum.5) Modeling approaches of regional river-sea numerical with semianalytical hydrodynamics,estuarine channel network,system dynamics and adaptation points are perspective.6) Adaptation planning to MSLR projections requires a comprehensive risk assessment of the risk of flood,fresh water supply shortage,coastal erosion,wetland loss,siltation of ports and waterway in Chinese delta cities and adjacent regions.
机译:近年来,中国三角洲城市及邻近地区加剧的涝灾,咸水入侵,湿地流失和生态系统退化,迫切需要创建一种适应当前和未来气候并结合海平面上升的城市形态。适应计划的吸收速度很慢,这尤其令人遗憾,因为城市形态的模式与平均海平面上升(MSLR)相互作用,从而减少或加剧了其影响。目前有两个主要障碍在阻止实施适应计划的过程中很重要。参考了由全球气候变暖引起的地貌MSLR预测和欣喜MSLR预测组成的MSLR预测,并对MSLR预测进行了全面的风险评估。本综述显示了在绘制MSLR预测及其在中国三角洲城市的风险评估方法方面的最新进展,以及然后是让这些城市适应MSLR预测的观点归纳为六个方面:1)地貌MSLR预测是由自然构造沉降预测贡献的,而MSLR投影是由人为地貌变化贡献的;前者需要在全球框架下进行更新;后者是由地下水耗竭引起的地面沉降积累而成的;由于流域水坝的建设,人工砂的开挖,包括开垦,深水航道调节和淡水水库在内的工程项目的水位升高,造成了河床冲淤造成的河床水位下降; 2)控制MSLR预测3)IPCC AR5 RCPs MSLRs情景预计将被投影到中国三角洲上的当地优生MSLR投影。4)MSLR投影需要与当地海拔基准相匹配。5)区域建模方法含半解析水动力学,河道网络,系统动力学和6)对MSLR预测的适应计划要求对中国三角洲城市及邻近地区的洪水,新鲜水短缺,沿海侵蚀,湿地流失,港口和水道淤积的风险进行全面的风险评估。

著录项

  • 来源
    《气候变化研究进展(英文版)》 |2017年第2期|130-136|共7页
  • 作者

    CHENG He-Qin; CHEN Ji-Yu;

  • 作者单位

    State Key Laboratory of Estuarine and Coastal Research, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China;

    State Key Laboratory of Estuarine and Coastal Research, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China;

  • 收录信息 中国科学引文数据库(CSCD);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-19 03:58:03
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