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Documented changes in annual runoff and attribution since the 1950s within selected rivers in China

机译:自1950年代以来,中国部分河流的年径流量和归因变化的记录在案

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摘要

To enable local water resource management and maintenance of ecosystem integrity and to protect and mitigate against flood and drought,it is necessary to determine changes in long-term series of streamflow and to distinguish the roles that climate change and human disturbance play in these changes.A review of previous research on the detection and attribution of observed changes in annual runoff in China shows a decrease in annual runoff since the 1950s in northern China in areas such as the Songhuajiang River water resources zone,the Liaohe River water resources zone,the Haihe River water resources zone,the Yellow River water resources zone,and the Huaihe River water resources Zone.Furthermore,abrupt changes in annual runoff occurred mostly in the 1970s and 1980s in all the above zones,except for some of the sub-basins in the middle Yellow River where abrupt change occurred in the 1990s.Changes in annual runoff are found to be mainly caused by climate change in the western Songhuajiang River basin,the upper mainstream of the Yangtze River,and the western Pearl River basin,which shows that studies on the impact of climate change on future water resources under different climate change scenarios are required to enable planning and management by agencies in these river basins.However,changes in annual runoff were found to be mainly caused by human activities in most of the catchments in northern China (such as the southern Songhuajiang River,Liaohe River,Haihe River,the lower reach and some of the catchments within the middle Yellow River basin) and in middle-eastern China,such as the Huaihe River and lower mainstream of the Yangtze River.This suggests that current hydro-climatic data can continue to be used in water-use planning and that policymakers need to focus on water resource management and protection.
机译:为了能够进行本地水资源管理并维护生态系统的完整性,并保护和减轻洪水和干旱,有必要确定长期水流序列的变化,并区分气候变化和人为干扰在这些变化中所起的作用。回顾以往对中国年径流变化的发现和归因的研究,发现自1950年代以来,华北地区在松花江水利水源带,辽河水利带,海河等地区的年径流有所减少。河流水源区,黄河水源区和淮河水源区。此外,以上所有区域的年径流量突然变化主要发生在1970年代和1980年代。在1990年代发生突变的黄河中游。年径流的变化主要是由松花间西部的气候变化引起的。 g流域,长江上游和珠江西部流域,这表明需要研究在不同气候变化情景下气候变化对未来水资源的影响,以使这些河流的机构能够进行规划和管理然而,在中国北方大多数流域(如南部的松花江河,辽河,海河,下游及中游地区的一些流域),发现年径流量的变化主要是由人类活动引起的。黄河流域)和中东部地区,例如淮河和长江中下游地区,这表明当前的水文气候数据可以继续用于水资源利用规划中,政策制定者需要重点关注水资源资源管理和保护。

著录项

  • 来源
    《气候变化研究进展(英文版)》 |2017年第1期|37-47|共11页
  • 作者

    LIU Lü-Liu; DU Jian-Jun;

  • 作者单位

    National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;

    Asset Operation Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;

  • 收录信息 中国科学引文数据库(CSCD);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-19 03:58:03
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