基于多元线性回归模型对江苏省物流需求的预测分析

摘要

According to the data of Jiangsu Province’s economic development over the years and by a mul-tiple linear regression method,the authors selected the major economic indicators,made their correlation analy-ses,established a rational and feasible model of the logistics demand,analyzed and found the major factors influ-encing the logistics demand,and lastly forecasted the freight volume in the next decade so as to provide reference for working out a programme of Jiangsu Province’s logistics industry development.%根据江苏省历年经济发展数据并采用多元线性回归方法，选取了各种主要经济指标并进行相关性分析，建立合理、可行的物流需求模型，分析得出影响物流需求量的主要影响因素，并对未来10年的货运量进行预测，为江苏省制定物流业发展规划提供参考。