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Variations in northern hemisphere snowfall: An analysis of historical trends and the projected response to anthropogenic forcing in the twenty-first century

机译：北半球降雪的变化：二十一世纪历史趋势分析与对人为迫使人为迫使的预计反应

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作者
Krasting, John P.;
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作者单位

Rutgers The State University of New Jersey - New Brunswick;

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授予单位 Rutgers The State University of New Jersey - New Brunswick;
学科
学位 Ph.D.
年度 2008
页码 200 p.
总页数 200
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类 AAI3349908;
关键词
Anthropogenic forcing; Climate change; Precipitation; Snowfall;

机译：人为强迫;气候变化;沉淀;雪;

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专利

1. Twenty-first century snowfall projections within the eastern Great Lakes region: detecting the presence of a lake-induced snowfall signal in GCMs [J] . Suriano Zachary J., Leathers Daniel J. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society . 2016,第5期

机译：大湖东部地区的21世纪降雪预测：检测GCM中是否存在湖泊诱发的降雪信号
2. Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble [J] . Mudryk Lawrence, Santolaria-Otín María, Krinner Gerhard, The Cryosphere Discussions . 2020,第7期

机译：CMIP6多模型集合的历史北半球雪覆盖趋势和预测的变化
3. Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble [J] . Lawrence Mudryk, María Santolaria-Otín, Gerhard Krinner, The Cryosphere . 2020,第7期

机译：CMIP6多模型集合的历史北半球雪覆盖趋势和预测的变化
4. On the role of air temperature in humidity variations in the Northern hemisphere in the second part of XX century [C] . Ashkhen A. Karakhanyan, Geliy A. Zherebtsov, Vladimir A. Kovalenko, International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics/Atmospheric Physics . 2008

机译：二十世纪下半叶气温在北半球湿度变化中的作用
5. Stratospheric Polar Vortex Variability in the Northern Hemisphere: The Effects of Climate Change on Polar Vortex Trends and Future Projections [D] . Rogers, John Earl. 2019

机译：北半球的平流层极涡变化：气候变化对极涡趋势和未来预测的影响
6. Robustness of anthropogenically forced decadal precipitation changes projected for the 21st century [O] . Honghai Zhang, Thomas L. Delworth -1

机译：预计21世纪人为强迫的十年降水变化的稳健性
7. The oceans mediate the response of global climate to natural and anthropogenic forcings. Yet for the past 2,000 years — a key interval for understanding the present and future climate response to these forcings — global sea surface temperature changes and the underlying driving mechanisms are poorly constrained. Here we present a global synthesis of sea surface temperatures for the Common Era (ce) derived from 57 individual marine reconstructions that meet strict quality control criteria. We observe a cooling trend from 1 to 1800 ce that is robust against explicit tests for potential biases in the reconstructions. Between 801 and 1800 ce, the surface cooling trend is qualitatively consistent with an independent synthesis of terrestrial temperature reconstructions, and with a sea surface temperature composite derived from an ensemble of climate model simulations using best estimates of past external radiative forcings. Climate simulations using single and cumulative forcings suggest that the ocean surface cooling trend from 801 to 1800 ce is not primarily a response to orbital forcing but arises from a high frequency of explosive volcanism. Our results show that repeated clusters of volcanic eruptions can induce a net negative radiative forcing that results in a centennial and global scale cooling trend via a decline in mixed-layer oceanic heat content. [O] . McGregor, Helen V., Evans, Michael N., Goosse, Hugues, 2015

机译：海洋调节了全球气候对自然和人为强迫的响应。然而，在过去的2,000年中（这是了解当前和未来气候对这些强迫的响应的关键间隔），全球海表温度变化及其潜在的驱动机制受到的约束很有限。在这里，我们提出了一个共同的时期（ce）的全球海面温度的全球综合，该综合来自57个符合严格质量控制标准的海洋重建项目。我们观察到从1到1800 ce的冷却趋势，对于显式测试重建中潜在的偏倚而言，该趋势很稳健。在801至1800 ce之间，表面降温趋势在质量上与地面温度重建的独立合成以及从使用过去外部辐射强迫的最佳估计的气候模型模拟集合推导出的海面温度合成在质量上是一致的。使用单一和累积强迫的气候模拟表明，从801到1800 ce的海洋表面冷却趋势主要不是对轨道强迫的反应，而是爆炸性火山爆发的频繁发生。我们的结果表明，火山喷发的反复簇可引起净的负辐射强迫，这会导致混合层海洋热量降低而导致百年和全球规模的降温趋势。

Variations in northern hemisphere snowfall: An analysis of historical trends and the projected response to anthropogenic forcing in the twenty-first century

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