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Analysis of the United States pediatric immunization market: A game theoretic approach.

机译:美国小儿免疫市场分析:一种博弈论方法。

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摘要

Immunization against infectious diseases is the single factor that has had the most considerable impact on world health. In the United States, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is the primary public health organization responsible for research, analysis, and fulfillment of immunization programs. A small number of vaccine manufacturers produce all the pediatric vaccines required to fully immunize a child against infectious diseases. To ensure adequate societal immunization coverage levels, the CDC negotiates the prices of the vaccines sold in the public sector with vaccine manufacturers. The economic competition between vaccine manufacturers and the impact of the negotiations between the CDC and the vaccine manufacturers are of particular interest. This dissertation applies game theory and operations research techniques to analyze the pricing strategies in the United States Pediatric vaccine market. The market is studied from four different aspects. First, integer programming is applied to analyze pricing strategies for pediatric combination vaccines by comparing the lowest overall cost formularies for a fixed cost of an injection. Specific emphasis is placed on examining the price of combination vaccine PentacelRTM under different conditions. Second, the market factors that impact the uptake of pediatric combination vaccines in the United States public sector pediatric vaccine market are analyzed. Particularly, the direct competition between PediarixRTM and PentacelRTM is studied considering the indirect presence of several market factors. Next, Bertrand-Edgeworth-Chamberlin price game is used to examine the prices of the monovalent vaccines in the United States pediatric vaccine market. The proposed game captures oligopolistic interactions between symmetric, capacity-constrained manufacturers (i.e., manufacturers with equal and limited production capacity) in a differentiated, single- product market with linear demand. Vaccines are differentiated based upon the number of reported adverse medical events for that vaccine. Using the proposed game theoretic model, equilibrium prices are computed for competing monovalent vaccines. Finally, The Bertrand-Edgeworth-Chamberlin price game is employed to analyze the competition between asymmetric capacity-constrained manufacturers (i.e., manufacturers with unequal and limited production capacities) producing differentiated products in a market with linear demand. The competing vaccines are differentiated based upon the number of reported adverse medical events, the number of different antigens, and special advantages of those vaccines. Using the proposed game theoretic model, equilibrium prices are computed for competing monovalent and combination vaccines. The results presented in this dissertation should appeal to the pediatric healthcare community, including federal government officials (who negotiate the vaccine prices with vaccine manufacturers) and vaccine manufacturers (who seek effective pricing strategies).
机译:预防传染病的免疫是对世界卫生影响最大的单一因素。在美国,疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)是主要的公共卫生组织,负责研究,分析和实施免疫计划。少数疫苗生产商会生产使儿童完全免疫传染病所需的所有儿科疫苗。为了确保足够的社会免疫覆盖水平,疾病预防控制中心与疫苗生产商协商在公共部门出售的疫苗价格。疫苗生产商之间的经济竞争以及CDC与疫苗生产商之间的谈判产生的影响尤其令人关注。本文运用博弈论和运筹学技术分析了美国小儿疫苗市场的定价策略。从四个不同方面研究了市场。首先,通过比较最低的总成本配方和固定注射成本,将整数规划应用于分析儿科联合疫苗的定价策略。特别强调在不同条件下检查组合疫苗PentacelRTM的价格。其次,分析了影响美国公共部门儿科疫苗市场中儿科联合疫苗使用的市场因素。特别是,考虑到一些市场因素的间接存在,研究了PediarixRTM和PentacelRTM之间的直接竞争。接下来,使用Bertrand-Edgeworth-Chamberlin价格博弈检验美国儿童疫苗市场中单价疫苗的价格。拟议的博弈捕捉了在线性需求差异化的单一产品市场中,对称的,产能受限的制造商(即生产能力相等且有限的制造商)之间的寡头互动。根据已报告的该疫苗不良医学事件的数量来区分疫苗。使用提出的博弈论模型,计算竞争性单价疫苗的均衡价格。最后,使用Bertrand-Edgeworth-Chamberlin价格博弈分析了在线性需求市场中生产差异化产品的不对称产能受限制造商(即产能不平等和受限的制造商)之间的竞争。根据所报告的不良医学事件的数量,不同抗原的数量以及这些疫苗的特殊优势,可以区分竞争性疫苗。使用提出的博弈论模型,计算竞争性单价疫苗和组合疫苗的均衡价格。本文提出的结果应吸引儿科医疗界,包括联邦政府官员(与疫苗制造商协商疫苗价格)和疫苗制造商(寻求有效的定价策略)。

著录项

  • 作者

    Behzad, Banafsheh.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.;

  • 授予单位 University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.;
  • 学科 Industrial engineering.;Operations research.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 90 p.
  • 总页数 90
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:53:30

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