Tracing a Line in the Water: China's Anti-Access/Area-Denial Strategy in the Asia Pacific Region and its Implications for the United States.

摘要

China has achieved significant milestones in a very limited amount of time in terms of military capabilities, platforms, systems, and doctrine. While it is uncertain whether or not China can effectively be successful in the implementation of its A2/AD strategy against the United States, its eventual success may well reside in its capability to sustain an ever-increasing military budget when faced with other financial obligations. The United States, on the other hand, would likely prevail during a military encounter today given its superior firepower, its experience, and its capacity of innovation, but those trends are threatened by an ominous fiscal reality at home that may endanger its prospects to be the dominant power in the Asia Pacific region for the upcoming decades. The United States will need to settle its issues with sequestration or otherwise its strategy of forward presence in the region will not be sustainable.