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Development of framework for statewide vehicle miles traveled (VMT) estimation.

机译:开发全州车辆行驶里程(VMT)估算框架。

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摘要

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) is a critical performance measure that is used extensively in highway transportation management for financial analysis, resource allocation, impact assessments, and reporting to oversight agencies. As highway revenue from fuel taxes continues to plummet and user-based taxes such as VMT fees become increasingly attractive, consistent and reliable VMT estimates have become critical for highway funding evaluation and administration. At the present time, there are several methods for VMT estimation that typically yield estimates that are inconsistent or inaccurate. This thesis presents alternative techniques for VMT estimation in the state of Indiana at the project, regional, and network levels for confirming or estimating the levels and distribution of vehicular travel at the present time as well as at any specified future time. The present research also developed a benchmark method (segment-level using traffic counts) for VMT estimation and shows how the estimates from the other different methods can be calibrated to mitigate the inconsistencies in statewide VMT estimation across the different methods. The early tasks of the research, which included a literature review and survey of VMT-data stakeholders, helped streamline the research effort, categorize the different techniques for VMT estimation and identify their limitations, and identified the preferred outputs of any platform for VMT estimation.;The core outcome of this thesis is a comprehensive framework for estimating the VMT contributed by each vehicle class for the state's entire road network. This framework estimates statewide VMT by using the segment length, traffic volume, and distance, for the primary highway systems of state routes (interstates, US and state roads) and local routes (city streets and county roads). Local route VMTs were studied in-depth because of their historical underrepresentation in VMT studies, the low accuracy of past estimating methods, and the local road's significant share of the total road inventory. For the state road VMT estimation, a comprehensive database was developed that facilitates extensive aggregations of VMT by geographical scope, route, functional class, and vehicle class. For the local-route VMT estimation, a sample of counties of different spatial locations and degrees of urbanization were used. Analytical techniques and tools, including cluster analysis, geographic information systems (GIS), and spatial interpolation techniques were used to expand the VMT estimates from the local road sample to the population of all counties in the state.;The results indicate that there is a -21% (underestimate) to +8 % (overestimate) in the results from the various VMT estimation methods, as compared to the benchmark method (segment-level VMT estimation) developed in this research. The technique developed in this research for reconciling these different VMT estimates was validated using the estimate from the benchmark method as a basis. The implementation platform developed in this research was designed to produce outcomes that address the VMT data needs of a state highway agency and other stakeholders, and could be enhanced in the future as and when data become available. The deliverables from this research are expected to have far-reaching impacts on the various functional areas of highway management and administration, the evaluation of a VMT fee as an alternative or complement to the fuel tax for highway revenue, and the generation of required reports to federal oversight agencies.
机译:行驶里程数(VMT)是一项关键绩效指标,已广泛用于公路运输管理中,用于财务分析,资源分配,影响评估以及向监督机构的报告。随着高速公路从燃油税中获得的收入继续暴跌,基于用户的税收(例如VMT费用)变得越来越有吸引力,一致而可靠的VMT估算对于高速公路资金评估和管理变得至关重要。目前,有几种用于VMT估算的方法通常会产生不一致或不准确的估算。本文提出了在印第安纳州的项目,区域和网络级别的VMT估计的替代技术,以确认或估计当前以及未来任何指定时间的车辆行驶水平和分布。本研究还开发了一种用于VMT估计的基准方法(使用流量计数的分段级别),并显示了如何校准其他不同方法的估计,以缓解不同方法在全州范围内VMT估计中的不一致。该研究的早期任务包括对VMT数据涉众进行文献回顾和调查,有助于简化研究工作,对VMT估算的不同技术进行分类并确定其局限性,并确定任何VMT估算平台的首选输出。 ;本论文的核心成果是一个综合框架,用于估算各车种对州整个道路网络的VMT贡献。该框架通过使用路段长度,交通量和距离来估算州范围内的VMT,以用于州道(州际,美国和州道)和地方路线(城市街道和县道)的主要高速公路系统。由于本地路线VMT在VMT研究中的历史代表性不足,过去估算方法的准确性低以及本地公路在公路总存量中的重要份额,因此对其进行了深入研究。对于国道VMT估算,开发了一个综合数据库,该数据库有助于按地理范围,路线,功能类别和车辆类别对VMT进行广泛汇总。对于本地路线VMT估计,使用了不同空间位置和城市化程度的县样本。分析技术和工具(包括聚类分析,地理信息系统(GIS)和空间插值技术)用于将VMT估计值从本地道路样本扩展到该州所有县的人口。与本研究中开发的基准方法(段级VMT估计)相比,各种VMT估计方法的结果为-21%(低估)至+ 8%(高估)。本研究中开发的用于调和这些不同的VMT估算值的技术已使用基准方法的估算值作为基础进行了验证。本研究开发的实施平台旨在产生可满足州高速公路局和其他利益相关方的VMT数据需求的结果,并且在将来可用数据时会得到增强。预计这项研究的可交付成果将对高速公路管理和行政的各个功能领域产生深远影响,评估VMT费用以替代或补充高速公路税收的燃油税,并生成所需的报告以联邦监督机构。

著录项

  • 作者

    Klatko, Trevor J.;

  • 作者单位

    Purdue University.;

  • 授予单位 Purdue University.;
  • 学科 Transportation.;Civil engineering.
  • 学位 M.S.C.E.
  • 年度 2015
  • 页码 217 p.
  • 总页数 217
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:52:36

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