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Risk management for the construction owner.

机译:施工业主的风险管理。

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摘要

Human beings and the organizations of human beings do not act rationally when dealing with risk. The optimum actions indicated by probability theory when an organization is placed in risk are often not the actions chosen by the individuals directing the organization.; Deviations from the actions predicted as optimal by probability theory can be measured and modeled by Utility theory. Utility theory, with utility functions, describe the risk behaviour(s) of organizations and individuals and can be used to predict reactions to risky situations.; Using the risk behaviours (utility functions) of the parties to the construction undertaking the owner can identify an efficient allocation of risk between the parties. A study of contracting strategies will allow the owner to select the contract that will allocate the construction risks according to the risk allocation model thereby improving the productivity through lower contingencies and improved claims negotiation.; An in-depth review of a construction sector provides realistic data to test the model. Conclusions and recommendations discuss the findings and the direction of potential future research.
机译:人类和人类组织在应对风险时没有采取合理的行动。当组织处于风险之中时,概率论所表明的最佳行动通常不是指导组织的个人所选择的行动。可以用效用理论测量和建模与通过概率理论预测为最佳行为的偏差。效用理论和效用函数描述了组织和个人的风险行为,可用于预测对风险情况的反应。使用承包方的施工方的风险行为(效用函数),所有者可以确定各方之间的风险有效分配。对合同策略的研究将使所有者能够根据风险分配模型选择将分配施工风险的合同,从而通过降低突发事件和改进索赔谈判来提高生产率。对建筑行业的深入审查提供了现实的数据来测试模型。结论和建议讨论了研究结果和潜在的未来研究方向。

著录项

  • 作者

    McKim, Robert A.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Waterloo (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 University of Waterloo (Canada).;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.; Business Administration Management.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1990
  • 页码
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 建筑科学;贸易经济;
  • 关键词

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