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Essays on domestic and international airline economics with some bootstrap applications.

机译:关于国内和国际航空经济学的论文以及一些自举应用程序。

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摘要

We present several essays on topics in airline economics. The first essay presents a model of U.S. aircraft demand. This joint model of demand for and supply of commercial air service allow us to simulate the effects of emerging technologies in engine design capabilities and in aircraft capacities on airline fleet sizes.; The second essay examines the possibility that relatively high prices in the European airline industry are due to market power. We examine the market conduct of firms in the European airline industry and find little evidence that competitive pricing is violated on average.; In the third essay, we present an integrated model of world aircraft demand. We estimate the demand for both passenger and cargo services and tie this demand to cost analysis of the carriers. Our cost model is used to generate derived demand schedules for the factors of production, in particular flying capital.; We take a brief look at bootstrap techniques in the forth essay. Bootstrapping has become a powerful technique for estimating sampling distributions of statistics since its introduction by Efron (1979). We discuss the bootstrapping procedure and present some small sample evidence of its effectiveness through Monte Carlo experiments.; The fifth essay applies the bootstrap to a model of U.S. aircraft demand. We bootstrap confidence intervals for Allen-Uzawa partial elasticities of substitution and price elasticities. We find prediction intervals for forecasts of airline's fleet size using the bootstrap.; The sixth essay suggests an application of leapfrogging measures to the airline industry. A detailed look at Hultberg and Postert (1998) is presented. Three rank mobility measures are presented and used to determine the amount of leapfrogging in the data. A human capital augmented Solow-Swan model is fit to the data and we use bootstrapping to calibrate the model.
机译:我们提出了几篇有关航空经济学的文章。第一篇文章介绍了美国飞机需求的模型。这种商业航空服务供求的联合模型使我们能够模拟新兴技术对发动机设计能力和飞机容量对航空公司机队规模的影响。第二篇文章探讨了欧洲航空业相对较高的价格归因于市场力量的可能性。我们研究了欧洲航空业中公司的市场行为,几乎没有证据表明平均而言违反了竞争性定价。在第三篇文章中,我们提出了世界飞机需求的综合模型。我们估计客运和货运服务的需求,并将这一需求与承运人的成本分析联系起来。我们的成本模型用于为生产要素(尤其是流动资金)生成派生的需求计划。在第四篇文章中,我们简要介绍一下引导程序技术。自从Efron(1979)引入自举法以来,自举法已成为一种用于估计统计数据抽样分布的强大技术。我们讨论了引导程序,并通过蒙特卡洛实验提供了一些小样本证据来证明其有效性。第五篇文章将引导程序应用于美国飞机需求模型。我们为替换的Allen-Uzawa部分弹性和价格弹性引导置信区间。我们使用引导程序找到用于预测航空公司机队规模的预测间隔。第六篇文章提出了跨越式措施在航空业中的应用。本文详细介绍了Hultberg和Postert(1998)。提出了三级流动性度量,并用于确定数据中越级的数量。人力资本增强的Solow-Swan模型适合于数据,我们使用自举法对模型进行校准。

著录项

  • 作者

    Postert, Anthony Kenneth.;

  • 作者单位

    Rice University.;

  • 授予单位 Rice University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.; Statistics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1999
  • 页码 156 p.
  • 总页数 156
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学 ; 统计学 ;
  • 关键词

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