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Identification of causative highway accident factors.

机译:确定高速公路事故致因因素。

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摘要

The primary goal of this research is to investigate causative highway accident factors for each state route in Davidson County. In order to achieve this goal, a new methodology was developed in this research. The latest year of available accident data from the Tennessee Department of Transportation for the 20 state routes in Davidson County was used for this research.; Five methods of identifying hazardous locations (namely the accident frequency method, accident rate method, quality control method, accident severity method, and combined method) were used to identify hazardous locations for each state route. Thirteen prior causative highway accident factors (independent variables) were evaluated initially in this research. Discriminant analysis techniques were applied in a variety of ways and combinations to determine the most significant contributing causative highway accident factors for each condition.; Numerous sensitivity analysis tests were conducted to examine how causative highway accident factors vary as methods of identifying hazardous locations, the length of roadway segments, and the proportions of hazardous locations/nonhazardous locations vary. The comparison of causative highway accident factors for all 20 state routes in Davidson County, as well as for each individual state route, were evaluated using the discriminant analysis technique.; Based on the results of the most prominent causative highway accident factors, recommendations for further actions were made for each group of state routes displaying the same factor.; One conclusion from this research is that discriminant analysis techniques can be used in highway highway safety analyses to make roads safer.
机译:这项研究的主要目的是调查戴维森县各州道路的高速公路事故原因。为了实现这一目标,本研究开发了一种新的方法。田纳西州交通运输部针对戴维森县20条州际路线的最新事故数据可用于该研究。使用五种识别危险位置的方法(即事故频率方法,事故率方法,质量控制方法,事故严重性方法和组合方法)来识别每个状态路线的危险位置。在本研究中,最初评估了13个先前的高速公路事故致因因素(独立变量)。判别分析技术以各种方式和组合应用,以确定每种情况下最重要的造成高速公路事故的成因。进行了许多敏感性分析测试,以检查导致高速公路事故的因素如何随识别危险位置的方法,路段的长度以及危险位置/非危险位置的比例而变化。使用判别分析技术评估了戴维森县所有20条州际公路以及每个州际公路的高速公路事故致因因素的比较。根据最突出的高速公路事故致因因素的结果,对显示相同因素的每组国家道路提出了进一步措施的建议。这项研究得出的结论是,判别分析技术可用于高速公路的公路安全分析,以使道路更安全。

著录项

  • 作者

    Ratanavaraha, Vatanavongs.;

  • 作者单位

    Vanderbilt University.;

  • 授予单位 Vanderbilt University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.; Transportation.; Statistics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1999
  • 页码 232 p.
  • 总页数 232
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 建筑科学;综合运输;统计学;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:48:00

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