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Price transmission throughout the U.S. food distribution system.

机译:整个美国食品配送系统的价格传递。

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摘要

Vertical markets for foods are linked through pricing systems with much of the performance seen through how well price information is reflected at points of exchange, farm, wholesale, and retail markets. Knowing about price linkages contributes to assessing market performance and the potential effects of agricultural policies on the markets. Even though many studies have proved some degree of price linkages resulting from economic theory and the nature of products focused on individual commodities, there is less empirical information about commodity price linkages in general.;Price linkage models allowing for time delays are estimated using recursive methods for measuring price linkages in the U.S. food distribution system for 100 food commodities from 1970:1 to 2009:6 and generalized by using standardized coefficients regressed against five product characteristics: commodity groups, market pairs (i.e., farm and wholesale, farm and retail, and wholesale and retail), availability of stock managements, consistency of identity, and changes of market concentrations. Based on the Granger-Causal test between market prices, the linkage models are estimated separately depending on price causal directions from low- to high-level markets and from high- to low-level markets.;The estimated results are expected to verify premises; the price changes through the system, but 1) the transmission may take time, 2) may be weak or strong over time, and 3) the responses may differ with rising versus falling prices. The results show evidence of strong price linkages: price information transmits of over 40% from high to low level markets, but the linkages are declining over time by 20% in rising prices and by 31% in falling prices. Short-run responses have changed, but are generally stable in terms of short-run responses relative to long-run responses, with about half of the total responses realized in the immediate month. Short-run falling prices are reflected relatively quickly, but the total effect of long-run rising prices is greater than falling prices in grain and oil crops from low- to high-level markets. In the long run, there tends to be a level of asymmetry with rising prices being passed through quicker than falling prices.
机译:垂直的食品市场通过定价系统链接在一起,通过在交换点,农场,批发和零售市场上反映价格信息的方式,可以看到许多绩效。了解价格联系有助于评估市场表现以及农业政策对市场的潜在影响。尽管许多研究已证明经济理论和针对单个商品的产品的性质导致一定程度的价格联系,但总体上关于商品价格联系的经验信息较少。;使用递归方法估算允许时间延迟的价格联系模型用于测量美国食品分配系统中1970:1至2009:6的100种食品商品的价格联系,并使用针对五种产品特征的标准化系数进行归纳:商品组,市场对(即农场和批发,农场和零售,批发和零售),库存管理的可用性,身份的一致性以及市场集中度的变化。基于市场价格之间的格兰杰因果关系检验,将分别根据从低端市场到高级市场以及从高端市场到低端市场的价格因果方向来估计链接模型。价格会通过系统发生变化,但1)传输可能会花费一些时间,2)可能会随着时间的推移变弱或变强,并且3)价格上涨或下跌的反应可能有所不同。结果显示出强有力的价格联系的证据:价格信息从高到低水平的市场传递了40%以上,但是随着时间的推移,联系在下降,下降了20%,下降了31%。短期响应已发生变化,但相对于长期响应而言,短期响应相对稳定,大约有一半的响应在最近一个月实现。短期价格下跌反映得比较快,但长期价格上涨的总影响大于从低端到高端市场的谷物和油料作物价格下跌。从长远来看,价格上涨往往比下跌的速度更快,这是不对称的。

著录项

  • 作者

    Kim, Hyeyoung.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Florida.;

  • 授予单位 University of Florida.;
  • 学科 Economics Agricultural.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 328 p.
  • 总页数 328
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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