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On-line estimation of traffic split parameters based on lane counts.

机译:基于车道数的交通流量分割参数在线估计。

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摘要

Adaptive traffic control systems need to continuously monitor traffic conditions and predict immediate traffic conditions to respond to changes in both recurrent and nonrecurrent traffic patterns. One measure of traffic conditions is the number of turning vehicles at intersections and freeway offramps. Split parameters may be estimated from the numbers of turning vehicles, and along with upstream traffic counts, these may be used to predict the numbers of downstream vehicle arrivals. This study develops several responsive methods to estimate split parameters for four-legged intersections and freeway segments from vehicle counts.; For intersections, these methods depend on the geometric layout of the intersection and the signal stage. The vehicle counts are collected by signal stages and lanes. The split parameters or turning proportions are estimated for each signal stage and, then they are combined to estimate the turning proportions for the entire interval. Some methods need counts for only one cycle to estimate turning proportions while others need additional data.; For those methods that need additional data, four closed-form estimation methods are developed. Two methods need prior turning proportion estimates: (1) maximum entropy (ME) and (2) generalized least-squared error (GLS). The other methods require counts for three cycles: (3) least-squared error (LS) and (4) least-squared error/generalized least-squared error (LS/GLS). Results from these methods are compared with each other. The ME, GLS and LS methods which use cycle counts are also developed and their results are compared with the results of their stage-count counterparts.; For freeway segments, a virtual box method for consistent vehicle counting is developed. Three split parameter estimation methods are developed for freeway segments. One method, GLS, uses counts, from one virtual box and requires prior split parameter estimates. The other methods, LS and GLS/LS, need several virtual boxes, depending on the number of interchanges in the freeway segment.; Split parameter estimation approaches are also developed for small road networks by combining split parameters from individual intersections and freeway segments.
机译:自适应交通控制系统需要连续监视交通状况并预测即时交通状况,以响应经常性和非经常性交通模式的变化。衡量交通状况的一种方法是在交叉路口和高速公路匝道处的转弯车辆数量。可以根据转弯车辆的数量来估计分割参数,并且连同上游交通计数一起,这些参数可以用于预测下游车辆到达的数量。这项研究开发了几种响应方法,以根据车辆数量估算四足路口和高速公路路段的分割参数。对于交叉路口,这些方法取决于交叉路口和信号台的几何布局。车辆计数通过信号级和车道收集。为每个信号级估计分割参数或转弯比例,然后将它们组合在一起以估计整个间隔的转弯比例。一些方法仅需要一个周期的计数即可估算转弯比例,而另一些则需要其他数据。对于那些需要其他数据的方法,开发了四种封闭形式的估计方法。有两种方法需要事先进行折算比例估计:(1)最大熵(ME)和(2)广义最小二乘误差(GLS)。其他方法需要计数三个周期:(3)最小二乘误差(LS)和(4)最小二乘误差/广义最小二乘误差(LS / GLS)。将这些方法的结果相互比较。还开发了使用循环计数的ME,GLS和LS方法,并将其结果与相应的阶段计数结果进行比较。对于高速公路路段,开发了一种 virtual box 方法,用于一致的车辆计数。针对高速公路路段开发了三种分割参数估计方法。一种方法,GLS,使用来自一个虚拟盒的计数,并且需要事先进行分割参数估计。 LS和GLS / LS的其他方法需要几个虚拟盒子,具体取决于高速公路路段中的互换数量。通过组合来自各个交叉口和高速公路路段的分割参数,还为小型道路网络开发了分割参数估计方法。

著录项

  • 作者

    Nobe, Steve.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Arizona.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Arizona.;
  • 学科 Operations Research.; Transportation.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2002
  • 页码 411 p.
  • 总页数 411
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 运筹学;综合运输;
  • 关键词

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