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Economic evaluation of bean-research investment in Mexico.

机译:墨西哥豆类研究投资的经济评估。

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摘要

In Mexico, dry beans are the second most important crop after maize, both in terms of production and consumption. Approximately 85% of the country's bean crop is grown under rainfed conditions. During the 1990s, the total harvested bean area decreased by 2.0%, average yield decreased by 2.5%, and production declined by 4.5%. As a result, there has been an increasing trend in requiring bean imports to meet domestic demand, especially after Mexico joined NAFTA in 1994. During the 1990s the Mexican government, through the Secretariat of Agriculture (SAGAR), started two programs---PROCAMPO and Alliance for the Countryside---to support farmers and promote the adoption of improved varieties through the Kilo per Kilo program.; In 1982, the Bean/Cowpea Collaborative Research Support Program (CRSP) signed an agreement with Mexico's National Research Institute for Forestry, Agriculture and Livestock (INIFAP) to collaborate in developing improved bean varieties for the semiarid highlands of Mexico's North-Central region. During 1990--2000, INIFAP released several improved bean varieties that were distributed via the Kilo per Kilo program and adopted by farmers in the semiarid region.; The economic impact assessment of bean research is essential to provide decision-makers with information to improve the allocation of research resources.; The objectives of the study are to describe Mexico's bean subsector, analyze the factors associated with adoption of the improved bean varieties released by INIFAP in the 1990s, identify factors that contributed to explaining the participation of farmers in the government's seed distribution program (Kilo per Kilo), and estimate the net social gains generated by public investment in agricultural research and extension to develop and distribute improved bean varieties in northern Mexico.; The study area includes the states of Chihuahua, Durango, and Zacatecas, which account for 62% of the Mexico's rainfed bean production area. The results reported in this study include a rapid appraisal assessment of the bean subsector, an evaluation of government support policies affecting the bean subsector, a statistical and econometric analysis of improved bean seed adoption and farmer participation in the Kilo per Kilo program (based on survey data), and an estimation of the economic returns to public investment in bean research and extension (using the economic surplus method).; The adoption analysis indicates that the improved bean varieties Pinto Villa and Pinto Mestizo have been widely adopted in Chihuahua and Durango, that these varieties have yields that are 20.6% higher that traditional pinto bean varieties and that the yield difference is statistically significant. The economic analysis indicates that if a closed economy model is assumed, the financial and economic NPVs are positive and the IRRs are 17.5 and 21.4%, respectively. If an open economy model is assumed, the financial and economic NPVs are positive and the IRRs are 21.3 and 20.7%, respectively. The results from both models are consistent and suggest that public investment in bean research and extension is profitable (opportunity cost of capital = 10%). Thus, the government should continue investing in bean research in northern Mexico.
机译:在墨西哥,无论从产量还是在消费量上,干豆都是仅次于玉米的第二重要农作物。该国约有85%的豆类作物在雨养条件下种植。在1990年代,收获的大豆总面积减少了2.0%,平均单产下降了2.5%,产量下降了4.5%。结果,要求豆类进口以满足国内需求的趋势不断增加,尤其是在墨西哥于1994年加入北美自由贸易协定之后。1990年代,墨西哥政府通过农业秘书处(SAGAR)发起了两个计划-PROCAMPO和农村联盟-通过“每千公斤千公斤计划”支持农民并促进采用改良品种。 1982年,“豆/牛豌豆合作研究支持计划”(CRSP)与墨西哥国家林业,农业和畜牧业研究院(INIFAP)签署了一项协议,合作为墨西哥中北部半干旱高地开发改良的豆品种。在1990--2000年期间,INIFAP通过Kilo per Kilo计划发布了几种改良的大豆品种,并被半干旱地区的农民采用。豆类研究的经济影响评估对于为决策者提供信息以改善研究资源的分配至关重要。该研究的目的是描述墨西哥的豆子部门,分析与采用INIFAP在1990年代发布的改良豆品种相关的因素,找出有助于解释农民参与政府种子分配计划的因素(千公斤) ),并估算公共投资在农业研究和推广方面的净社会收益,以开发和分配墨西哥北部的改良豆品种。研究区域包括奇瓦瓦州,杜兰戈州和萨卡特卡斯州,它们占墨西哥雨养豆产区的62%。这项研究报告的结果包括对豆子子行业的快速评估评估,对影响豆子子行业的政府支持政策的评估,对改善豆子采用率的统计和计量经济学分析以及农民参与每千公斤Kilo计划(基于调查)数据),以及对豆类研究和推广中公共投资的经济收益的估算(使用经济剩余方法);通过分析表明,改良的大豆品种Pinto Villa和Pinto Mestizo在奇瓦瓦州和杜兰戈已被广泛采用,这些品种的产量比传统的Pinto豆品种高20.6%,并且产量差异具有统计学意义。经济分析表明,如果采用封闭经济模型,则金融和经济净现值均为正,内部收益率分别为17.5%和21.4%。如果采用开放经济模型,则金融和经济净现值均为正,内部收益率分别为21.3和20.7%。两种模型的结果都是一致的,并且表明对豆类研究和推广的公共投资是有利可图的(资本机会成本= 10%)。因此,政府应继续投资墨西哥北部的豆类研究。

著录项

  • 作者

    Gonzalez-Ramirez, Horacio.;

  • 作者单位

    Michigan State University.;

  • 授予单位 Michigan State University.;
  • 学科 Economics Agricultural.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2003
  • 页码 228 p.
  • 总页数 228
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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