Determinacy and domestic incentives: Success of international conditionality in Serbia.

摘要

Instances of international organizations pursuing their political and economic interests in Serbia have proliferated since the ousting of former President Slobodan Milosevic in 2001. However, the successes of international organizations in pursuing these political and economic interests have varied. This thesis examines three cases of international conditionality in Serbia since 2001: the International Monetary Fund's efforts to persuade Serbian elites to adopt austerity measures, the European Union's pursuit of its energy interests and the European Union's attempts to induce full judicial reform. The thesis posits that in order to understand the varied success of these three initiatives, one should identify both the determinacy of the policy and Serbian elites' cost-benefit analyses.