Products of their environment? Nuclear proliferation and the emerging multipolar international system.

摘要

The world is shifting from a unipolar system following the end of the Cold War to a multipolar system that is ushered in by "the rise of the rest." This change in the global structure has led some analysts to predict an increase in nuclear weapons proliferation caused by increased uncertainty and a decrease in alliances and security assurances. Nuclear proliferation, however, will not increase because these types of predictions are founded upon realist assumptions that inaccurately predict the characteristics of the emerging multipolar system as well as inaccurately understanding calculations of states with regard to nuclear weapons programs. I review a variety of literature concerning international politics theory and nuclear weapons forming a theoretical framework and use Iran and Turkey as case studies to test my hypothesis.