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Essay on household financial and career decisions.

机译:关于家庭财务和职业决策的论文。

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摘要

This dissertation advances the understanding of household economic behavior. The first essay addresses the investment decisions of households, in particular the often sizable allocation to individual stocks. This essay estimates a structural model of the beliefs required to rationalize this direct stock ownership. In the model, households believe they can learn about individual stock returns through costly research. This essay shows that the model produces choices consistent with many of the observed features of household portfolios. Further, the model identifies both the distribution of research costs and the distribution of household beliefs about the predictability of individual stock returns. Estimation results indicate that most households have only modestly optimistic beliefs about individual stock return predictability, although a minority must expect research to yield exceptionally high returns.;The second essay explores the role of idiosyncratic taste and skill in career choice. We use expected utility to cardinalize a logit model of career choice in a setting where we observe the income risk of chosen careers and the risk-aversion of the people who choose them. The key parameter of interest - the importance of idiosyncratic taste and skill in career choice - is identified from the shift in the distribution of income risk with risk aversion. We estimate the model using proxies for income risk and risk preference, both from the PSID. We separate idiosyncratic career taste from skill using the pay gap between high- and low-income risk people with high and low risk-aversion.;The third essay is an empirical investigation of the presumed effort shirking induced by long-term guaranteed labor contracts. Previous studies have explored effort shirking among professional athletes. In cases where a negative correlation between player performance and the time until contract expiration is found, the correlation is viewed as evidence of effort shirking. An alternative explanation is that contract lengths are chosen endogenously. Using panel data from the NBA, this paper tests for the presence of effort shirking while explicitly controlling for endogenously chosen contract lengths. Estimation results indicate that no effort shirking is present in the data once endogenous contract lengths are appropriately accounted for.
机译:本文的研究使人们对家庭经济行为有了更深入的认识。第一篇文章论述了家庭的投资决策,尤其是对个人股票的经常分配。本文估计了合理化这种直接库存所有权所需信念的结构模型。在该模型中,家庭认为他们可以通过昂贵的研究来了解个人的股票收益。本文表明,该模型产生的选择与家庭投资组合的许多观察特征一致。此外,该模型可以识别研究成本的分布以及有关个人股票收益可预测性的家庭信念的分布。估计结果表明,大多数家庭对个人股票收益的可预测性只有中等程度的乐观信念,尽管少数人必须期望研究能够产生非常高的收益。第二篇文章探讨了特质品味和技能在职业选择中的作用。我们使用预期的效用在以下情况下将职业选择的逻辑模型基本化:在这种情况下,我们观察选定职业的收入风险和选择职业的人的风险规避。兴趣的关键参数-特殊品味和技能在职业选择中的重要性-通过风险规避带来的收入风险分布变化来确定。我们使用来自PSID的收入风险和风险偏好代理估计模型。我们使用高风险厌恶和低风险厌恶的高收入和低收入风险人之间的薪酬差距,将特殊的职业爱好与技能分开。第三篇文章是对长期担保劳动合同引起的推定努力的实证研究。先前的研究已经探索了职业运动员之间的回避努力。如果发现球员的表现与合同到期之前的时间呈负相关,则该相关被视为努力回避的证据。另一种解释是合同长度是内生选择的。使用来自NBA的面板数据,本文测试了是否存在努力逃避,同时明确控制了内生选择的合同长度。估计结果表明,一旦适当考虑了内生合同长度,数据中就不会出现任何努力。

著录项

  • 作者

    Barth, Daniel John.;

  • 作者单位

    The Johns Hopkins University.;

  • 授予单位 The Johns Hopkins University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2012
  • 页码 121 p.
  • 总页数 121
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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