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Physically-based modeling for improved flood prediction in the Elbow River Watershed.

机译:基于物理的建模方法可以改善肘河流域的洪水预报。

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摘要

This research focuses on comparing flood forecasting by a lumped model and a physically-based distributed model in southern Alberta. It also includes urbanization impacts on the hydrology, and climate change impacts on hydrology of this area. The lumped model is called Streamflow Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation (SSARR), and the distributed model is PRMS. The SSARR model was developed by USACE, and the PRMS model was developed by USGS. The Elbow River Watershed was chosen as the study area.; Five years of data were selected for calibration and verification. The simulation periods are long-term periods from April 1 to August 31 and short-term events with focus on peak flows for 5 days before and after the event. Time step is 3 hourly increments in the SSARR model, and 1 hour for PRMS.; The calibrated SSARR model was accepted by Alberta Environment, and will be operated in Elbow river basins this year. The calibrated model is suitable for the Upper basin, the Lower basin and the Whole basin, and for wet, medium and dry years.
机译:这项研究的重点是通过集总模型和基于物理的分布式模型对艾伯塔省南部的洪水预报进行比较。它还包括城市化对水文的影响以及气候变化对这一地区水文的影响。集总模型称为“流量综合与储层调节”(SSARR),而分布式模型为PRMS。 SSARR模型由USACE开发,PRMS模型由USGS开发。肘河流域被选为研究区域。选择了五年的数据进行校准和验证。模拟时段是从4月1日到8月31日的长期时段,以及短期事件,其重点是事件前后5天的峰值流量。在SSARR模型中,时间步长为3小时,对于PRMS,时间步长为1小时。校准的SSARR模型已被Alberta Environment接受,并将于今年在肘河流域运行。校准后的模型适用于上流域,下流域和整个流域,以及湿,中和干年。

著录项

  • 作者

    Xiang, Zhong.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Calgary (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 University of Calgary (Canada).;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.; Environmental Sciences.
  • 学位 M.Sc.
  • 年度 2005
  • 页码 261 p.
  • 总页数 261
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 建筑科学;环境科学基础理论;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:41:33

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