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Empirical Studies of Behavioral Economics and Industrial Organization.

机译:行为经济学与产业组织的实证研究。

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摘要

This thesis consists of three essays in behavioral economics and industrial organization. In recent decades, behavioral economics has uncovered many new insights about the limitations of rationality, including time inconsistent behavior and cognitive biases in processing information. Understanding how bounded rationality interacts with economic institutions can have important policy implications. In the first chapter, I show that time inconsistent consumer preferences have important implications for public health policy on alcohol. In the second chapter, I extend the demand model developed in the first chapter and describe how data can be used to test whether consumer behaves as if time inconsistent. In the third chapter which is joint work with Toomas Hinnosaar, we show that a bias toward respect for authority impacts social learning.;In chapter 1, I study restrictions on the days when alcohol is available in the stores. The alcohol sales restrictions are commonly used tools in order to reduce alcohol consumption. However, a forward looking consumer can buy in advance, thereby mostly undo the impact of the restriction. I study whether time inconsistent consumer preferences can provide a justification for restrictions on alcohol sales time. I estimate a demand model which allows a fraction of consumers to be time inconsistent, using scanner data of beer purchases and other shopping behavior. According to the estimation results, 20% of consumers are time inconsistent and they account for 64% of beer consumption. I find that Sunday sales restriction decreases weekend consumption by the same amount as a sales tax increase by 21 percentage points. In terms of consumer welfare, the sales restriction is preferable to the tax increase.;In chapter 2, I develop a storable goods demand model in the continuous time infinite horizon framework that allows consumers to be time inconsistent. I derive the optimal consumption and shopping policy for three types of consumers: time consistent, sophisticated time inconsistent and naive time inconsistent. I compare their implied shopping patterns, and describe how to test whether a consumer is time inconsistent using data on the quantity and frequency of purchases.;Chapter 3 studies a behavior, namely respect for authority, which also might deviate from the fully rational. People at positions with formal authority are often expected to make better decisions and fewer mistakes, and therefore their opinions and contributions are given higher weight. This can be an equilibrium effect: people may be selected to the positions with formal authority because of their knowledge or skills. But respect for authority could also be a behavioral bias. These two explanations have very different implications. Our goal is to measure the authority bias, which we define as the difference between perceived and true quality of contributions by people with formal authority. Identifying the authority bias is complicated by the fact that almost always the observable outcomes include both explanations. We propose a method of identifying the authority bias that allows us to separate it from the equilibrium effect. We estimate the authority bias using a novel dataset from Wikipedia. In Wikipedia, editors at high-rank positions are treated differently, and there is high regional variation. Our preliminary estimation results indicate that the authority bias does not exist in Western Europe, but is large in Eastern Europe. The authority bias more than doubles the time needed for the mistakes made by high-rank editors in Eastern Europe to be corrected.
机译:本文由行为经济学和产业组织三篇论文组成。在最近的几十年中,行为经济学发现了关于理性局限性的许多新见解,包括时间不一致的行为和信息处理中的认知偏差。理解有限理性如何与经济机构互动可能会对政策产生重要影响。在第一章中,我表明时间不一致的消费者偏好对酒精公共卫生政策具有重要意义。在第二章中,我扩展了在第一章中开发的需求模型,并描述了如何使用数据来测试消费者是否表现为时间不一致。在与Toomas Hinnosaar共同合作的第三章中,我们表明了对权威的偏见会影响社会学习。在第1章中,我研究了商店中有酒的日子的限制。酒精销售限制是减少酒精消耗的常用工具。但是,具有前瞻性的消费者可以提前购买,从而基本上消除了限制的影响。我研究了时间不一致的消费者偏好是否可以为限制酒类销售时间提供理由。我估计了一个需求模型,该模型使用啤酒购买和其他购物行为的扫描仪数据,使一部分消费者的时间不一致。根据估算结果,有20%的消费者时间不一致,占啤酒消费量的64%。我发现星期天的销售限制使周末的消费减少了与销售税增加21个百分点相同的数额。从消费者福利的角度来看,销售限制比增加税收更可取。在第二章中,我在连续时间无限期框架内建立了一个可存储的商品需求模型,该模型允许消费者时间不一致。我得出三种类型的消费者的最佳消费和购物策略:时间一致,复杂时间不一致和天真的时间不一致。我比较了他们的隐含购物模式,并描述了如何使用有关购买数量和频率的数据来检验消费者在时间上是否不一致。第三章研究一种行为,即对权威的尊重,这也可能偏离完全理性。人们通常希望在具有正式权威的职位上做出更好的决定,减少错误,因此,他们的意见和贡献具有更大的分量。这可能是一种均衡效应:由于人们的知识或技能,他们可能会被选为具有正式权限的职位。但是,尊重权威也可能是一种行为偏见。这两种解释具有非常不同的含义。我们的目标是衡量权威偏见,我们将其定义为拥有正式权威的人所感知的贡献质量与真实贡献质量之间的差异。由于几乎总是可以观察到的结果都包含两种解释,因此识别权威偏差变得很复杂。我们提出了一种识别权威偏差的方法,该方法使我们能够将其与均衡效应分开。我们使用来自Wikipedia的新数据集来估计权限偏差。在Wikipedia中,高级职位的编辑者受到不同的对待,并且地区差异很大。我们的初步估计结果表明,权威偏见在西欧不存在,但在东欧却很大。权威偏见使纠正东欧高级编辑犯下的错误所需的时间增加了一倍以上。

著录项

  • 作者

    Hinnosaar, Marit.;

  • 作者单位

    Northwestern University.;

  • 授予单位 Northwestern University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 166 p.
  • 总页数 166
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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