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Asymmetries in trade flows and international specialization: Evidence from the Asian Input-Output tables.

机译:贸易流和国际专业化的不对称性:来自亚洲投入产出表的证据。

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Chapter 1 of this thesis revisits Reimer (2006), and Trefler and Zhu (2005, 2006) (RTZ) tests of the Vanek proposition in the presence of international differences in production techniques and global production sharing. In this framework, knowing the bilateral details of each country's input-output structure is key to the correct calculation of the factor content of trade. Because input-output tables typically lack this detail, RTZ impute the relevant input-output coefficients using a method that implicitly assumes that international flows of goods respond to trade determinants independently of their end-use ( Symmetry Hypothesis).;This chapter uses survey-based input-output coefficients from the Asian Input- Output tables (AIO) that do provide bilateral detail. Exploiting methodological differences in the compilation of the AIO tables and the data underlying RTZ studies, the symmetry hypothesis is empirically tested and found to fail. This failure causes input-output data imputed following RTZ methodology to overstate the gross quantity of both domestic and foreign factors' services embodied in a country's trade. However, both biases are systematic and tend to cancel each other out resulting in only a small positive bias on net flows of factors and in the performance of the Vanek proposition.;Chapter 2 examines the determinants of input trade using data from the Asian IO tables. We employ an extension of a widely used model of intermediate input trade in which inputs and final goods are considered symmetric up to differences in expenditure shares. This provides a null hypothesis that inputs and final goods are determined by the same factors.;Our estimates provide the following insights. One, the extent of industrial absorption relative to final consumption as measured by input-output tables does help explain the input share of trade. Two, contrary to the maintained assumption of symmetry from our null hypothesis, this is not the only determinant of input trade. Input trade is more likely to be characterized by zeros, less sensitive to factor endowment differences than final goods trade, and more sensitive to trade costs as measured by home bias, contiguity and common language. However, the role of home bias and contiguity is eliminated by the year 2000, consistent with the popular view of the internationalization of input trade.;Chapter 3 is in response to Adda and Cornaglia (AC, 2006) article which analyzes the effect of cigarettes taxes on smokers' behaviors. Their work is widely cited because their results suggest taxes on cigarettes may be harmful to smokers' health. Taxes induce smokers to reduce the number of cigarettes smoked but make them smoke each cigarette more intensively (e.g. smokers decrease time between puffs, smoke each cigarette up to the filter or take off the filter altogether).;In this chapter, we consider the interpretation and robustness of the empirical results in AC. After replicating AC's original results, we repeat the analysis using a larger sample now available from the NHANES III dataset that covers the same years as the original AC data. For both the original AC sample and the new expanded sample, we fail to find any strong evidence of compensatory behavior from the estimated cigarette and cotinine elasticities. As a robustness check, we also estimate models using cigarette-price data rather than cigarette-tax data. We find that all of the elasticity estimates become statistically insignificant in the price specifications. Failing to find strong support for AC's claim of compensatory behavior in the overall sample, we proceed to estimate cigarette and cotinine elasticities for different subsamples of the data. We do find little systematic evidence of compensatory behavior among the subsamples.
机译:本文的第一章回顾了Reimer(2006)以及Trefler和Zhu(2005,2006)(RTZ)在存在国际生产技术差异和全球生产共享差异的情况下对Vanek命题的检验。在这种框架下,了解每个国家投入产出结构的双边细节是正确计算贸易要素含量的关键。由于投入产出表通常缺乏此细节,因此RTZ使用一种方法隐式地假定相关的投入产出系数,即假设国际货物流量对贸易决定因素的响应与最终用途无关(对称假设)。来自亚洲输入输出表(AIO)的输入输出系数的确提供了双边细节。利用AIO表和RTZ研究基础数据的方法学差异,对对称性假设进行了经验检验,发现失败。这种失败导致按照RTZ方法估算的输入输出数据高估了一个国家贸易中体现的国内外因素服务的总量。但是,这两种偏见都是系统性的,往往会相互抵消,从而导致对要素净流量和Vanek命题的表现只有很小的正偏见;第二章使用来自亚洲IO表的数据来检验投入贸易的决定因素。 。我们采用了广泛使用的中间投入贸易模型的扩展,在该模型中,投入和最终商品被认为是对称的,取决于支出份额的差异。这提供了一个零假设,即投入品和最终商品是由相同的因素决定的。我们的估计提供了以下见解。第一,按投入产出表衡量的工业吸收相对于最终消费的程度确实有助于解释贸易的投入份额。第二,与我们原假设所维持的对称性假设相反,这不是投入贸易的唯一决定因素。投入贸易更有可能以零为特征,与最终商品贸易相比,对要素end赋差异的敏感度较低,并且对以本国偏见,连续性和通用语言衡量的贸易成本更敏感。然而,与普遍认为的投入物贸易国际化相一致,到2000年,家庭偏见和连续性的作用已被消除。第三章是针对Adda和Cornaglia(AC,2006年)的文章的分析,该文章分析了卷烟的影响对吸烟者行为征税。他们的工作被广泛引用,因为他们的结果表明对香烟征税可能对吸烟者的健康有害。税收促使吸烟者减少抽烟的香烟数量,但使吸烟者更密集地抽烟(例如,吸烟者减少抽烟之间的时间,将每支香烟抽到过滤嘴或完全取下过滤嘴)。在本章中,我们考虑了解释和交流的经验结果的稳健性。复制AC的原始结果后,我们使用NHANES III数据集中现在可用的较大样本重复进行分析,该样本涵盖与AC原始数据相同的年份。对于原始的AC样品和新的扩展样品,我们都无法从估计的香烟和可替宁弹性中找到任何有力的补偿行为证据。作为鲁棒性检查,我们还使用卷烟价格数据而不是卷烟税数据来估计模型。我们发现,所有弹性估计在价格规格上在统计上变得无关紧要。未能在整个样本中找到对AC的补偿行为主张的有力支持,因此我们继续估计了数据的不同子样本的香烟和可替宁弹性。在子样本中,我们确实找不到补偿行为的系统证据。

著录项

  • 作者

    Puzzello, Laura.;

  • 作者单位

    Purdue University.;

  • 授予单位 Purdue University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 116 p.
  • 总页数 116
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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