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Peace with North Korea: An application of modern conflict resolution theory.

机译:与朝鲜和平:现代解决冲突理论的应用。

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摘要

This research applied modern conflict resolution theory to the conflict between the United States and North Korea to determine how best to resolve it. The conflict was analyzed using case study design and grounded theory processes. Two research questions were raised and evaluated.; Research question one tested whether current U.S. foreign policy will ultimately be effective. This was evaluated through analysis of the military mission and of ongoing diplomatic initiatives such as the Six-Party negotiations. By thematic analysis, it was determined if current policy would most likely succeed, partially succeed, or fail to resolve the conflict.; Research question two tested whether application of alternate dispute resolution methodologies has the potential to resolve the conflict. The theoretical basis for analysis was The Third Side (Ury, 2000) theory of conflict resolution. William Ury's theory prescribes 10 essential roles that must be played by vested third parties before conflict can be successfully resolved.; The research developed a conceptual framework for general application of the Third Side theory, with each of the 10 roles described with respect to function and application. The history of conflict resolution efforts with North Korea was then overlaid onto the theoretical framework in order to match up concepts, actors, actions, and outcomes. There were three possible outcomes: the theory element has been applied and resulted in a success; the theory element has been applied and resulted in a failure; the theory element has never been applied and is a shortfall. The test was to determine if a scenario in which all elements were fully employed would result in conflict resolution.; Analysis reveals that current U.S. policy could succeed in resolving the conflict, if U.S. policy towards North Korea was changed from one of isolate-and-sanction to one of respectful diplomacy. The Third Side theory proves to be insufficient for application to international conflicts, and application of this theory alone would be unsuccessful. However, a collaborative strategy that incorporated an effective formal U.S. foreign policy with citizen diplomacy would enable the formation of a peace plan with the best potential to resolve the conflict with North Korea.
机译:这项研究将现代冲突解决理论应用于美国和朝鲜之间的冲突,以确定如何最好地解决它。使用案例研究设计和扎实的理论流程对冲突进行了分析。提出并评估了两个研究问题。研究问题之一测试了当前的美国外交政策是否最终会有效。通过对军事任务和六方谈判等正在进行的外交举措的分析来评估这一点。通过专题分析,确定了当前政策最有可能成功,部分成功或无法解决冲突。研究问题二测试了采用替代性争议解决方法是否具有解决冲突的潜力。分析的理论基础是解决冲突的第三面(Ury,2000)理论。威廉·乌里(William Ury)的理论规定了在成功解决冲突之前,既得的第三方必须扮演的10个基本角色。该研究为第三方面理论的普遍应用开发了一个概念框架,并就功能和应用描述了十个角色中的每个角色。然后将与朝鲜解决冲突的努力的历史覆盖到理论框架上,以匹配概念,参与者,行动和结果。有三种可能的结果:理论要素已被应用并取得了成功;理论要素已被应用并导致失败;该理论要素从未得到应用,这是一个不足。测试的目的是确定在充分利用所有要素的情况下是否能够解决冲突。分析表明,如果美国对朝鲜的政策从孤立制裁的一种改为尊重外交的一项,则当前的美国政策可能成功解决冲突。第三方理论被证明不足以应用于国际冲突,仅此理论的应用就不会成功。但是,一项将有效的正式美国外交政策与公民外交相结合的合作战略,将能够形成最有可能解决与朝鲜冲突的和平计划。

著录项

  • 作者

    Cuthbert, Randall.;

  • 作者单位

    Saybrook Graduate School and Research Center.;

  • 授予单位 Saybrook Graduate School and Research Center.;
  • 学科 Political Science International Law and Relations.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 190 p.
  • 总页数 190
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 国际法;
  • 关键词

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