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Assessment of uncertainty management approaches in construction organizations.

机译:评估施工组织中的不确定性管理方法。

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摘要

Previous research has indicated that in about 85% of the projects, the managers underestimated the extent of uncertainty at the start of a project. Since then limited research has been conducted to study the uncertainty climate in AEC organizations. The primary goal of this research was to assess the approaches of construction organizations towards managing uncertainty. The Working Climate Survey measured two aspects of uncertainty namely---personal and work environment uncertainty and plotted a matrix based on these scores. This matrix was equally divided into four sections namely---dynamic, unsettling, status quo, and stifling. The desirable condition is when most of the respondents are in the dynamic climate. Analysis of the responses of 61 construction industry professionals from a wide spectrum of companies indicated the possibility of some correlation between demographic items and results of the study. It was also found that creating the right environment for employees is the first essential step necessary to embrace uncertainty followed by training the employees. Moreover, an improvement in the percentage of responses in dynamic climate was found when only the companies that practice any of the lean construction principles were considered separately from the entire sample. Based on the findings of the research, guidelines for embracing uncertainty in the project and production management phases were developed. The last planner system and OODA loop model when used in tandem was found to be very efficient in embracing uncertainties in the production phase of construction.
机译:先前的研究表明,在大约85%的项目中,管理人员低估了项目开始时的不确定性程度。从那以后,进行了有限的研究来研究AEC组织中的不确定性气候。这项研究的主要目的是评估建筑组织应对不确定性的方法。工作环境调查测量了不确定性的两个方面,即个人和工作环境的不确定性,并根据这些得分绘制了一个矩阵。该矩阵被平均分为四个部分,即动态,不稳定,现状和窒息。理想的条件是大多数受访者处于动态气候中。对来自众多公司的61名建筑行业专业人员的回答进行的分析表明,人口统计项目与研究结果之间可能存在某些相关性。人们还发现,为员工创造合适的环境是应对不确定性并随后对员工进行培训所必需的第一步。此外,当只考虑采用任何精益施工原则的公司与整个样本分开考虑时,就会发现在动态气候中的响应百分比有所提高。根据研究结果,制定了在项目和生产管理阶段包含不确定性的指南。当同时使用最后的计划器系统和OODA循环模型时,发现在构建生产阶段不确定性方面非常有效。

著录项

  • 作者

    Jayaraman, Venkataramanan.;

  • 作者单位

    Michigan State University.;

  • 授予单位 Michigan State University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.
  • 学位 M.S.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 150 p.
  • 总页数 150
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 建筑科学;
  • 关键词

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