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Aircraft structural safety: Effects of explicit and implicit safety measures and uncertainty reduction mechanisms.

机译:飞机结构安全:显式和隐式安全措施以及不确定性降低机制的影响。

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Aircraft structural safety is achieved by using different safety measures such as safety and knockdown factors, tests and redundancy. Safety factors or knockdown factors can be either explicit (e.g., load safety factor of 1.5) or implicit (e.g., conservative design decisions). Safety measures protect against uncertainties in loading, material and geometry properties along with uncertainties in structural modeling and analysis. The two main objectives of this dissertation are: (i) Analyzing and comparing the effectiveness of structural safety measures and their interaction. (ii) Allocating the resources for reducing uncertainties, instead of living with the uncertainties and allocating the resources for heavier structures for the given uncertainties.; Certification tests are found to be most effective when error is large and variability is small. Certification testing is more effective for improving safety than increased safety factors, but it cannot compete with even a small reduction in errors. Variability reduction is even more effective than error reduction for our examples.; The effects of structural element tests on reducing uncertainty and the optimal choice of additional knockdown factors are explored. We find that instead of using implicit knockdown factors based on worst-case scenarios (current practice), using test-dependent explicit knockdown factors may lead weight savings. Surprisingly, we find that a more conservative knockdown factor should be used if the failure stresses measured in tests exceeds predicted failure stresses in order to reduce the variability in knockdown factors generated by variability in material properties.; Finally, we perform probabilistic optimization of a wing and tail system under limited statistical data for the stress distribution and show that the ratio of the probabilities of failure of the probabilistic design and deterministic design is not sensitive to errors in statistical data. We find that the deviation of the probabilistic design and deterministic design is a small perturbation, which can be achieved by a small redistribution of knockdown factors.
机译:飞机的结构安全是通过使用不同的安全措施来实现的,例如安全和击倒系数,测试和冗余。安全系数或击倒系数可以是显式的(例如,负载安全系数为1.5)或隐式的(例如,保守的设计决策)。安全措施可防止载荷,材料和几何特性的不确定性以及结构建模和分析的不确定性。本文的两个主要目标是:(i)分析和比较结构安全措施及其相互作用的有效性。 (ii)分配资源以减少不确定性,而不是忍受不确定性,并为给定的不确定性分配用于较重结构的资源;当误差较大且变异性较小时,证明测试是最有效的。认证测试在提高安全性方面比增加安全系数更有效,但是即使在很小的错误减少上也无法与之抗衡。对于我们的示例,减少可变性甚至比减少错误更为有效。探索了结构元件测试对减少不确定性的影响以及其他击倒因子的最佳选择。我们发现,不是使用基于最坏情况的隐式击倒因子(当前的实践),而是使用依赖于测试的显式击倒因子可以节省重量。出乎意料的是,我们发现,如果测试中测得的破坏​​应力超过了预期的破坏应力,则应使用更为保守的击穿因子,以减少由于材料性能变化而产生的击穿因子的变化。最后,我们在有限的统计数据下对机翼和尾翼系统进行了概率优化以求应力分布,并表明概率设计和确定性设计失败的概率之比对统计数据中的误差不敏感。我们发现,概率设计和确定性设计的偏差是很小的扰动,这可以通过对组合因子的小的重新分配来实现。

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