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The impact of water quality on Southern California beach recreation: A finite mixture model approach.

机译:水质对南加州海滩休闲的影响:一种有限混合模型方法。

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摘要

This dissertation uses a finite mixture logit (FML) model to investigate the heterogeneity of preferences of beach users for water quality at beaches in Southern California. The results are compared with conventional approaches based conditional logit (CL) and random parameters logit (RPL). The FML approach captures variation in preferences by modeling individual recreator choices using a mixture of several distinct preference groups, where group membership is a function of individual characteristic and seasonal variables. The FML parameter estimates are used to calculate welfare measures for improvements in beach quality through a reduction of water pollution. The FML segment specific welfare measures bound the traditional CL and RPL mean welfare estimates, and have the advantage of highlighting the distribution of the population sample's preferences. Analysis of beach recreation site choice data indicates the existence of four representative preference groups within the survey respondent sample. As a result, willingness to pay measures for improvements in water quality and other beach site attribute changes can be weighted across individuals to calculate the distribution of individual welfare measures.; One group of recreators is characterized as people who go to the beach and engage in water recreation with children. An interesting finding is that this group has a lower mean WTP for improving water quality than groups who go without children. This may well be an example of cognitive dissonance: parents find they go to the beach more often than others who don't have children, since that keeps the children occupied and happy, and they adapt their perception of the water quality to be consistent with their behavior.; Previous environmental and resource economic applications of the FML have been limited to applications with small choice sets (6) and group membership variables (4), This paper extends the FML model through the estimation of a large (51) choice set with 9 membership variables. This application is the first to incorporate seasonal variables into the group' membership function to capture seasonal heterogeneity.; Estimated welfare changes are calculated using the compensating variation measure for several hypothetical beach closure and water quality degradation scenarios. Estimation results indicate that the FML welfare estimates differ from those calculated using the traditional logit or RPL models. The FML model sheds light onto which subsets of beach recreators are likely to be impacted by different scenarios of resource change.
机译:本文利用有限混合对数模型研究了加利福尼亚南部海滩使用者对海滩水质偏好的异质性。将结果与基于条件对数(CL)和随机参数对数(RPL)的常规方法进行比较。 FML方法通过使用几个不同的偏好组的混合物对单个创建者的选择进行建模来捕获偏好的变化,其中组成员资格是各个特征和季节变量的函数。 FML参数估计值用于计算福利指标,以通过减少水污染来改善海滩质量。 FML细分市场特定的福利衡量标准限制了传统的CL和RPL平均福利估计值,并且具有突出显示人口样本偏好分布的优势。对海滩休闲场所选择数据的分析表明,调查受访者样本中存在四个代表性的偏好组。结果,可以在个人之间加权为改善水质和其他海滩场所属性变化而付出措施的意愿,以计算个人福利措施的分布。一组娱乐场所的特征是去海边与孩子们进行水上娱乐的人们。一个有趣的发现是,与没有孩子的群体相比,该群体的WTP值较低,以改善水质。这很可能是认知失调的一个例子:父母发现他们比没有孩子的其他人去海滩的次数更多,因为这会使孩子们忙碌而快乐,并且他们使自己对水质的看法与他们的行为。 FML以前的环境和资源经济应用仅限于具有小选择集(6)和组成员变量(4)的应用。本文通过估计具有9个隶属变量的大(51)选择集来扩展FML模型。该应用程序是第一个将季节变量合并到该组的隶属函数中以捕获季节异质性的应用程序。估计的福利变化是使用补偿性变化量度针对几种假设的海滩封闭和水质恶化情景进行计算的。估计结果表明,FML福利估计与使用传统logit或RPL模型计算得出的福利估计有所不同。 FML模型揭示了海滩休闲者的哪些子集可能受到资源变化的不同方案的影响。

著录项

  • 作者

    Hilger, James Robert.;

  • 作者单位

    University of California, Berkeley.;

  • 授予单位 University of California, Berkeley.;
  • 学科 Economics Agricultural.; Environmental Sciences.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 102 p.
  • 总页数 102
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 农业经济;环境科学基础理论;
  • 关键词

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