摘要
Abstract
Ⅰ.Introduction
A.Relevance of the Topic
B.Motivations
C.Research Statement
Ⅱ.Background
A.The "China Model" for economic growth
B.Methods for Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables Abroad and in China
C.The Relationship Between Analyst Funding and Forecast Accuracy
D.Local Analysts Advantages
E.Chinese Statistics
Ⅲ.Literature Review
A.Forecast Accuracy in the G7 Countries
B.Proximity Analysis and Local Advantage
C.Firm Size and Forecast Precision
D.Local vs.Foreign Information Advantages
E.Monetary Policy in China
F.Current Tendencies in Existing Literature
Ⅳ.Data
A.Macroeconomic variables
B.Including Hong Kong in the Sample
C.Data Sources and Research Sample
D.Limitations in the Dataset
E.Control Variables
Ⅴ.Forecast Accuracy Regression
A.Method
A.1 Standardizing the data
A.2 Regression models
B.Results
B.1 Descriptive Statistics
B.2 Correlation Table
B.3 Results From Regression 1
B.4 Results From Regression 2
Ⅵ.Discussion
Ⅶ.Conclusion
References
Acknowledgements
