The impact of US monetary policy on China’s stock market based on SVAR Model

摘要

In this paper, we apply the Structure Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model to analyze the impact of U.S. monetary policy on China’s stock market. We selected Shanghai Composite Index as a representative of China’s stock market. Sample period is from 2007 Q3 to 2019 Q3. Empirical results show that there exist strong evidences of spillover effect and Granger-causal relation between the Shanghai Composite Index and U.S. monetary policy. Compared with interest rate, money supply has a deeper influence on the Shanghai Composite Index. Generally, the expansionary monetary policy has a negative influence while the effect of contractionary one is positive.