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An HIV/AIDS Epidemic Model With Media Coverage, Vertical Transmission And Time Delays

机译:艾滋病毒/艾滋病疫情模型,媒体覆盖,垂直传输和时间延迟

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In this paper, we propose and study a time-delay compartmental model for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission, a disease which may lead to an advanced stage of infection called acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), in a sexually active population with the presence of media coverage. The inclusion of vertical transmission in the recruitment of infected individuals is also considered. Moreover, two time delays are incorporated in the model. One delay τ_1 covers the period from the time of gathering statistical data on the total number of infections in the community up to the time that these information are reported to the public through media. The other delay r_2 corresponds to the period that an infected newborn baby reaches the age of sexual maturity. If the threshold value R_0 < 1, then the only equilibrium point is the disease-free equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable. If the threshold values R_0 and R_(00) are both greater than 1, then a unique endemic equilibrium exists, which is globally asymptotically stable when media coverage is not considered. When there is no vertical transmission but media coverage is considered, the system undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at some critical value of the media delay. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate theoretical results.
机译:在本文中,我们提出并研究了人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)传播的时滞分区模型,这一疾病可能导致感染的晚期感染阶段(艾滋病),在与存在的性活跃的人口中媒体报道。还考虑了在募集感染个体的招募中纳入垂直传播。此外,模型中的两个时间延迟结合在一起。一个延迟τ_1涵盖从社区中收集统计数据的统计数据的时间,这是通过媒体向公众报告这些信息的时间。另一个延迟R_2对应于受感染的初生婴儿达到性成熟年龄的时期。如果阈值R_0 <1,则唯一的平衡点是无疾病平衡,其全局渐近稳定。如果阈值R_0和R_(00)均大于1,则存在唯一的流行均衡,当不考虑媒体覆盖时,全局渐近稳定。当没有垂直传输但考虑介质覆盖时,系统在媒体延迟的一些临界值下经历HOPF分叉。提出了数值模拟以说明理论结果。

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