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The Econometric quantitative analysis of the relationship among Medical Expenses Growth, Aging of Population and Economic Growth

机译:经济学定量分析医学费用生长,人口老龄化和经济增长

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According to the statistical data in recent years, we make cointegration test and Granger causality test on the correlation of medical expenses growth, economy and the aging of the population and find out that when it is adjusted by price deflation factor, the Income elasticity of China's medical spending is around 1; It is a long-term relationship of the influence of economic growth, aging of population on the growth of medical expenses, but the short-term impact is not serious; the impact of aging of population on medical expenses growth is significantly lower than the role of economic growth; economic growth, medical expenses growth are all Granger reasons why the proportion of elderly people increase.
机译:据统计数据近年来,我们对医疗费用的相关性,经济和人口老龄化的相关性进行协整,并找出,当它通过价格通缩因素调整时,中国的收入弹性 医疗支出约为1; 这是一种长期关系,对经济增长的影响,人口老龄化对医疗费用的增长,但短期影响并不严重; 人口老龄化对医疗费用增长的影响明显低于经济增长的作用; 经济增长,医疗费用增长都是GRANGER的原因,为什么老年人的比例增加。

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