Research on Product Technical Maturity Forecasting and R D strategy based on TRIZ

摘要

For the enterprise in changeful market environment, product technical maturity is an important reference to develop strategies and hold technology trades. It is benefit to accurately determine the developmental level of relevant techniques and carry out technical innovation with scrutiny to situation. On the basis of two methods which Altshuller and Darrell Mann used to forecast maturity, synthesize the patent characteristic curve, this paper finished the product technical maturity forecasting. The analysis of technology maturity is the base for enterprise research and development strategy. The different R & D strategy should be carried on according to the different stage of product life including Infancy stage, Growth stage, Maturation stage and Degeneration stage.