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A VARIABLE-SIZE LOCAL DOMAIN APPROACH FOR CONCURRENT DESIGN OPTIMIZATION AND MODEL VALIDATION USING PARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP

机译:使用参数举训练的同时设计优化和模型验证的可变大小的本地域方法

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摘要

A common approach to the validation of simulation models focuses on validation throughout the entire design space. In a more recent methodology, we proposed to validate designs as they are generated during a simulation-based optimization process, relying on validating the simulation model through calibration in a sequence of local domains. In that work, the size of the local domains was held fixed and not linked to uncertainty, and the confidence in designs was quantified using Bayesian hypothesis testing. In this article, we present an improved methodology where the size and shape of the local domain at each stage of a sequential design optimization process, are determined from a parametric bootstrap methodology involving maximum likelihood estimators of unknown model parameters. Validation through calibration is carried out in the local domain at each stage. The sequential process continues until the local domain does not change from stage to stage during the design optimization process, ensuring convergence to an optimal design. The proposed methodology is illustrated with the design of a thermal insulator using one-dimensional, linear heat conduction in a solid slab with heat flux boundary conditions.
机译:仿真模型验证的常用方法侧重于验证整个设计空间。在最近的方法,我们提出了验证设计,因为它们时的基于仿真的优化过程中产生的,依靠验证通过校准仿真模型在本地域的序列。在这项工作中,本地域的大小保持固定,而不是挂不确定性,并利用贝叶斯假设检验的信心在设计中进行定量。在本文中,我们提出,其中在连续的设计优化过程的每个阶段的尺寸和本地域中的形状,是从涉及的未知模型参数的最大似然估计的参数的自举方法确定的改进的方法。通过校准验证在每个阶段的本地域中进行。顺序过程一直持续到本地域不从舞台在设计优化过程中更改为舞台,以确保收敛到最优设计。所建议的方法被示出具有使用一维的,线性热传导的固体板坯热通量边界条件的热绝缘体的设计。

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