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On the Predictability of Onset and Withdrawal of the Rainy Season (Changma) in Korea

机译:论韩国雨季(樟宜)发病和撤回的可预测性

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The understanding of the Changma (Korean rainy season) is the most essential in identify the characteristics of summer rainfall in Korea, which accounts for over 50 percent of the annual rainfall totals. In particular, the accurate prediction of the onset of the Changma with the evolutionary features of the Asian summer monsoon circulation is imperative for the prevention of natural disasters that may occur during the Changma period. From examining the characteristics of the Changma in Korea and the predictability of the onset and withdrawal of the Changma, the following results are obtained 1) The onset and withdrawal of the Changma are closely related to the evolutionary features of the Asian summer monsoon circulation associated with the lower-level western Pacific high and upper-level South Asian anticyclone. 2) The onset of the Changma tends to commence about 30 days after the appearance of predominant easterly at the 100 hPa in Nanning of China. It is found that the withdrawal dates of the Changma are generally coincident with the dates when the first negative sign appears. 3) There is an apparent association between sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific and in the middle latitude in prior monsoon and monsoon months and the onset and withdrawal dates of the Changma in the middle part of the Korean peninsula, respectively.
机译:对常马(韩国雨季)的理解是确定韩国夏季降雨特征的最重要的,占年过降雨量的50%以上。特别是,随着亚洲夏季季风循环的进化特征的准确预测亚洲季风循环的进化特征对于预防在长MA期间可能发生的自然灾害是必要的。从检查韩国的常端的特征以及樟宜发病和撤离的可预测性,获得以下结果1)樟宜的发病和撤回与与之相关的亚洲夏季季风循环的进化特征密切相关较低级别的西太平洋高和上层南亚抗体。 2)昌马的发作往往会在中国南宁南宁的100 HPA出现占优势后30天。结果发现,当出现第一个负标志时,常端的撤出日期通常与日期重合。 3)热带太平洋和季风月份的海面温度异常与中部纬度以及朝鲜半岛中部的中部的发病和撤出和撤出日期,存在明显关联。

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