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High-Frequency Equity Index Futures Trading Using Recurrent Reinforcement Learning with Candlesticks

机译:使用烛台的循环强化学习进行高频股票指数期货交易

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In 1997, Moody and Wu presented recurrent reinforcement learning (RRL) as a viable machine learning method within algorithmic trading. Subsequent research has shown a degree of controversy with regards to the benefits of incorporating technical indicators in the recurrent reinforcement learning framework. In 1991, Nison introduced Japanese candlesticks to the global research community as an alternative to employing traditional indicators within the technical analysis of financial time series. The literature accumulated over the past two and a half decades of research contains conflicting results with regards to the utility of using Japanese candlestick patterns to exploit inefficiencies in financial time series. In this paper, we combine features based on Japanese candlesticks with recurrent reinforcement learning to produce a high-frequency algorithmic trading system for the E-mini S&P 500 index futures market. Our empirical study shows a statistically significant increase in both return and Sharpe ratio compared to relevant benchmarks, suggesting the existence of exploitable spatio-temporal structure in Japanese candlestick patterns and the ability of recurrent reinforcement learning to detect and take advantage of this structure in a high-frequency equity index futures trading environment.
机译:1997年,穆迪(Moody)和吴(Wu)提出了循环强化学习(RRL)作为算法交易中可行的机器学习方法。随后的研究表明,在将技术指标纳入循环强化学习框架中的益处方面存在一定争议。 1991年,Nison向全球研究界介绍了日本烛台,以作为在金融时间序列的技术分析中采用传统指标的替代方法。在过去的两年半的研究中,积累的文献在使用日本烛台模式来利用金融时间序列中的低效率方面的实用性方面存在矛盾的结果。在本文中,我们将基于日本烛台的特征与反复强化学习相结合,为E-迷你S&P 500指数期货市场产生了高频算法交易系统。我们的实证研究表明,与相关基准相比,收益率和夏普比率都有统计学上的显着提高,这表明日本烛台模式中存在可利用的时空结构,并且经常性的强化学习能够在高水平的情况下检测和利用此结构。股指期货交易环境。

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