Coevolution of competitive market structures in the context of Mobile OS industry

摘要

Technoeconomics of modern telecommunication business depicts a competitive complex structure. Proposed in this paper is a stochastical growth model that describes the business performance of competing telecommunication companies (telcos) such as mobile platforms. The underlying competition is modelled as coevolving pre-predator system and hence, the growth/decay profile of the competitors is deduced. The model is applied to econometric forecasting via artificial neural network-based simulations. Example results pertinent to real-world data on the temporal dynamics of competing/co-evolving competitors known in Mobile OS industry, (like Android, Symbian and iPhone) are presented demonstrating the efficacy of forecast feasibility as well as the validity of the model proposed.