Estimation of Total Fuel Demand in the Road Transportation in Iran in 2025 Considering Demand-Side Approach

摘要

Energy consumption in the transportation sector in Iran is significantly higher than global normsand standards which caused some issues including wasting national resources, deteriorating airquality, GHG emissions etc. In Iran, liquid fuels including gasoline and gasoil are dominantsources of energy in the transportation sector. In this context, the road transport has the majorshare in consuming liquid fuel amongst others i.e. the rail, marine and air transportations. Energyconsumption in road transport in Iran has to be decreased in order to reduce dependency on fossilfuels as well as negative environmental consequences. One solution is to adopt demand-sidestrategies. The overall aim of this study is to estimate the total fuel consumption for roadtransport in Iran in 2025 under a new scenario in which demand-side approach has been adopted.The aim of this study is to illustrate and discuss to what extent implementing some middle-termdemand-side strategies could decrease fuel consumption in the road transport system in Iran by2025.