The Prediction of Publishing Scale of Literature Books in China-Based on GM (1,1) Model

摘要

In recent years, Chinese publishing industry has got rapid development. The literature books belong to book publishing also increased quickly, which main reasons are as follows: one is our country has rich and long literary treasure, such as the Tang poem, the Song Ci or the Yuan Qu etc. Since the ancient times, they become a kind of way masses pastime and studying, which edified sentiment, improved Nationals overall quality; The other is, in recent years, with the rapid development of our economy, people's living standards increasing quickly, and ordinary people realized the importance of supplying spiritual nourishment and increased spending on literature books, etc. In this paper, firstly, we introduced the present situation and research significance of publishing scale of literature book; Secondly, we used the grey forecast method and the data of publishing scale of literature book in the recent two decades made a prediction; Finally, we made a summary on the empirical analysis results obtained.