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Analysis on Factors of SSE Real Estate Index ——An Empirical Study Based on VAR Model

机译:基于VAR模型的证券房地产指标因素分析 - 基于var模型的实证研究

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This paper selected the Shanghai Stock Exchange(SSE) real estate index, the SSE Composite Index, Consumer Price Index-Residence(CPI-R) and the Real Estate Climate Index data as a research object, between 2001-2008, and establish its VAR model to do empirical analysis, using Granger causality test and variance decomposition methods. The result shows that: there is Granger Causality relationship between SSE Real Estate Index and CPI-R, and the SSE Composite Index is helpful to explain the SSE Real Estate Index. The empirical results mainly illustrate there is a definite transmission relationship between the capital market and the real estate market.
机译:本文选出了上海证券交易所(上证券交易所)房地产指数,SSE综合指数,消费者价格指数 - 居住(CPI-R)和房地产气候指数数据作为研究对象,建立了var模型进行实证分析,采用格兰杰因果关系试验和方差分解方法。结果表明:SSE房地产指数和CPI-R之间有GRANGER因果关系关系,SSE综合指数有助于解释SSE房地产指数。经验结果主要说明资本市场与房地产市场之间存在明确的传输关系。

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