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Shandong Information Industry and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis Based on Co-integration Theory

机译:山东信息产业与经济增长:基于协整理论的实证分析

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摘要

Based on the co-integration theory, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the short-term and long-term relationship between the information industry and economic growth in Shandong province, by using data from 1995 to 2009. The main steps are: the unit root test, description co-integration theory, error correction modeling, Granger causality tests and the analysis of generalized impulse response function. The results suggest: there is a co-integration between the information industry and economic growth in Shandong province; information industry has significant influence on economic growth; information industry has individual Granger causality relation to economic growth; impulse response analysis shows that there is a positive response to the interaction in a long run.
机译:本文基于协整理论,运用1995-2009年的数据,对山东省信息产业与经济增长的短期和长期关系进行了实证分析。主要步骤为:单位根检验,描述协整理论,纠错建模,格兰杰因果关系检验和广义脉冲响应函数分析。结果表明:山东省信息产业与经济增长存在协整关系。信息产业对经济增长具有重大影响;信息产业与经济增长具有个体格兰杰因果关系;脉冲响应分析表明,从长远来看,对交互作用有积极的响应。

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