Perfection, ideality, and technology road map as measured by a sliding scale (technology creativity metrics)

摘要

This paper presents an approach to quantify and measure technology evolution levels as forecasted by a technology development road map. The concept of technology perfection performance and ideal performance are defined and contrasted in order to clarify such notions as: current state-of-the-art technology, old proximity to ideal performance, new proximity to ideal, perfection improvement and technology creativity level. Perfection is defined as a practical and obtainable performance of a technology at a forecasted state-of-the-art development level, where ideal performance is the ultimate imaginary state of unreachable perfection. The creativity levels of technologies displayed on a road map are quantified by the use of a "creativity measurement sliding scale", also here-by called the "JJ Sliding Scale". These forecasted technology levels are displayed on this road map including the current-state-of-the-art as well as the imaginary ideal performance of selected technology.