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Caribbean Ports, Inland Logistics, and the Panama Canal Expansion: A Mode and Port Choice Analysis

机译:加勒比海港口,内陆物流和巴拿马运河扩建:模式和港口选择分析

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This paper develops an international freight transport model for predicting the importers' behavior in the port/path-choice decisions after the Panama Canal expansion. A real-data case study for Colombian ports was developed assuming that the expansion will reduce the time to cross the canal. Two infrastructure investment projects of the Colombian government were evaluated as likely scenarios. Results show the adequacy of the model for its predictive purpose and its usability to carry sensitivity analyses of scenarios. The overriding outcome is that the model could guide governmental decisions on the infrastructures domain by demonstrating their effect in the logistic realm.
机译:本文开发了一种国际货运模型,用于预测巴拿马运河扩建后进口商在港口/路径选择决定中的行为。假设哥伦比亚港口的扩建将减少穿越运河的时间,则开发了针对哥伦比亚港口的实际数据案例研究。哥伦比亚政府的两个基础设施投资项目被评估为可能的方案。结果表明该模型对于其预测目的是足够的,并且可以进行情景敏感性分析。压倒一切的结果是,该模型可以通过证明其在物流领域的作用来指导政府在基础设施领域的决策。

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