Contributions of Psychology to the Design of Diagnostic Decision Support Systems

摘要

This paper describes how psychological research can contribute to the requirements engineering, the design and usefulness of a Diagnostic Decision Support System (DDSS) intended to support pediatric residents' diagnostic decisions. Research on cognitive biases in Bayesian decision tasks is discussed. The design of the DDSS is briefly outlined, and a formative usefulness test is reported. Under the assumption that a particular cognitive bias could be overcome by showing it to participants, pediatric residents were given a set of Bayesian decision tasks. One half was given an opportunity to interact with NeoPeDDS and the other half was not. Results showed that NeoPedDDS usage improved the accuracy of the diagnostic decisions, but that formal training in Bayesian statistics appears to be necessary for residents to evaluate ambiguous information in a normatively correct manner.