A METHODOLOGY FOR TECHNOLOGY EVALUATION AND CAPABILITY TRADEOFF FOR COMPLEX SYSTEM ARCHITECTURES

摘要

Evaluating the benefit of technologies for complex system architectures that consist of many heterogeneous interoperating assets continues to be a challenge. While modeling and simulation tools provide a means to quantitatively analyze capabilities at the "system-of-systems" level, it is difficult to execute large-scale discrete event simulations such as military campaign codes without resorting to human-in-the-loop analysis. The proposed methodology for technology evaluation incorporates several best-in-class practices and identifies a technique that uses surrogate models and intelligent agents to reduce the burden on human analysts while alleviating the confounding effects of technologies and tactics.