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Estimation of urban air temperature spatial patterns based on sensors network observations and satellite derived predictors

机译:基于传感器网络观测和卫星预测因子的城市气温空间格局估算

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Besides new economical, managerial and social challenges associated with growing cities, the modifications caused in the energy budget of the urban surface intensifies the existing urban heat island (UHI). UHI can vary temporally and spatially according to meteorological conditions, landscape and urban typologies. Urban cover and form, as well as anthropogenic activities, pose an important effect on the city's thermal behaviour that influence UHI and therefore the quality of life of the citizens. In this study, we focus on quantifying the air temperature spatiotemporal patterns across the urban and peri-urban area of Heraklion, Greece at a grid of 100 m x 100 m cells. We use point air temperature observations from the Wireless Sensors Network of Heraklion and interpolate spatially by means of sophisticated geo-statistical modelling parameterized with satellite derived predictors. Regression kriging interpolation technique is implemented over the study area, using different predictors to minimize the uncertainty in air temperature estimation. We deal for multicollinearity between predictors and spatio-temporal correlations between measurements. A maximum magnitude of UHI ~ 4 ℃ has been observed between 04:00-05:00 (UTC+3). Cross-validations indicate a mean MAE ~0.86 ℃ in the estimated air temperature maps.
机译:除了与成长中的城市相关的新的经济,管理和社会挑战之外,城市表面能源预算引起的变化还加剧了现有的城市热岛(UHI)。 UHI可以根据气象条件,景观和城市类型在时间和空间上变化。城市的覆盖面,形式以及人为活动对城市的热行为产生了重要影响,影响了城市居民健康指数,进而影响了居民的生活质量。在这项研究中,我们着重于在100 m x 100 m单元格的网格上量化希腊伊拉克利翁市区和城市郊区的气温时空分布。我们使用来自伊拉克利翁无线传感器网络的点空气温度观测值,并通过卫星衍生的预测因子进行参数化的复杂地统计学模型进行空间插值。回归克里格插值插值技术在研究区域内实施,使用不同的预测变量以最小化气温估算的不确定性。我们处理预测变量之间的多重共线性和测量之间的时空相关性。在04:00-05:00(UTC + 3)之间观察到最大UHI〜4℃。交叉验证表明,在估计的气温图中,平均MAE约为0.86℃。

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