A Genetic Programming Approach for Bankruptcy Prediction Using a Highly Unbalanced Database

摘要

In this paper we present the application of a genetic programming algorithm to the problem of bankruptcy prediction. To carry out the research we have used a database of Spanish companies. The database has two important drawbacks: the number of bankrupt companies is very small when compared with the number of healthy ones (unbalanced data) and a considerable number of companies have missing data. For comparison purposes we have solved the same problem using a support vector machine. Genetic programming has achieved very satisfactory results, improving those obtained with the support vector machine.