Further Reflections on the Timescale of AI

摘要

Solomonoff explored the possibilities of the future course of AI development, including social effects of the development of intelligent machines which can be produced with exponentially decreasing costs. He introduced arguably the first formal mathematical model of what has since come to be known as the technological Singularity. Since that time a veritable plethora of such models has appeared. We examine the milestones and model in light of 25 years more experience, and offer a revised version.