Scenario analysis for identifying the development areas of future technologies to combat emerging infectious diseases: APEC efforts

摘要

This paper presents the key findings from the collaborative study among APEC members to address the possibilities on the future development of emerging infectious diseases and the opportunities/challenges that technologies can be effectively exploited to deal with diseases. The scenario planning technique has been applied in the study and integrated with bibliometric analysis and technology roadmapping. As a result, experts highlighted the future development of key technological domains in the areas of modeling, tracking and vaccine development.